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Table of Contents
1.
Public Private Partnership Programme: The Public Sector Comparator and 
1
Quantitative Assessment – A Guide for Public Sector Entities
2.
Public Private Partnership Programme: The New Zealand PPP Model and Policy: 
38
Setting the Scene – A Guide for Public Sector Entities




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Public Private Partnership Programme 
 
 
The  Public Sector Comparator and 
Quantitative Assessment 
 
 
A  Guide for Public Sector Entities 
 
 
 
 
 
 
September 2015 
 
 
 


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© Crown Copyright 
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 New Zealand licence. In 
 
essence, you are free to copy, distribute and adapt the work, as long as you attribute the work 
to the Crown and abide by the other licence terms. 
To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/nz/. Please note that no 
departmental or governmental emblem, logo or Coat of Arms may be used in any way which infringes any 
provision of the Flags, Emblems, and Names Protection Act 1981. Attribution to the Crown should be in written 
form and not by reproduction of any such emblem, logo or Coat of Arms. 
ISBN: 978-0-478-43684-6 (Online) 
The Treasury URL at September 2015 for this document is 
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/guidance/public-sector-comparator 
The PURL for this document is http://purl.oclc.org/nzt/g-ppp-pscqa  

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Contents 
 
1  About this Guidance ......................................................................................... 1 
2  Introduction ....................................................................................................... 2 
Core Definitions .................................................................................................. 2 
Link with Better Business Case Guidelines ......................................................... 3 
Part 1: The PSC and its Application ...................................................................... 
3  Overview of the Public Sector Comparator .................................................... 5 
The Reference Project ........................................................................................ 6 
Transferred Risk ................................................................................................. 6 
Tax Adjustment ................................................................................................... 6 
Presentation of the PSC ...................................................................................... 6 

4  Quantitative Assessment ................................................................................. 8 
Procuring Entity’s Internal Costs ......................................................................... 8 
Assessment Framework ...................................................................................... 9 
Setting the Affordability Threshold .................................................................... 11 
Financial Close ................................................................................................. 11 

Part 2: Detailed Guidance ..................................................................................... 13 
5  Risk Quantification ......................................................................................... 13 
Types of Risk .................................................................................................... 13 
Identifying Risks ................................................................................................ 14 
Quantifying Risks .............................................................................................. 15 
6  Proxy Bid Model .............................................................................................. 19 
Methodology ..................................................................................................... 20 
Financing Assumptions ..................................................................................... 21 
Taxation Calculations ........................................................................................ 23 
GST................................................................................................................... 23 
Unitary Charge Profile ....................................................................................... 24 
7  Tax Adjustment ............................................................................................... 25 
Impact of Taxation ............................................................................................ 25 
Rationale for Adjustment ................................................................................... 25 
Adjustment Process .......................................................................................... 26 
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8  Discount Rates ................................................................................................ 27 
The Discount Rate Model .................................................................................. 27 
Specification of the Discount Rate .................................................................... 29 
Inputs ................................................................................................................ 30 
Updates ............................................................................................................. 31 
Appendix A:  Risk Al ocation Example ................................................................ 32 
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1  About this Guidance 
How to use this guidance 
1.1  This guidance has been written by the Treasury PPP Team.  It must be read in conjunction 
with other Public Private Partnership (PPP) guidance and applied in consultation with the 
Treasury PPP Team.  It assumes that the Treasury’s Standard Form PPP Project Agreement 
wil  form the basis of the contract to be signed with the private sector partner.1 
1.2  This document should be read by public sector entities (referred to as procuring entities 
throughout this guidance document) that are considering or implementing PPP as a 
procurement option for a major infrastructure project; specifically, those staff involved in the 
development and internal approval of the project business case and procurement process. 
1.3  A glossary of terms used throughout this document is available on the Treasury website.2 
The New Zealand PPP model 
1.4  In the New Zealand context, a PPP is a long-term contract for the delivery of a service, 
where provision of the service requires the construction of a new asset, or enhancement of 
an existing asset, that is financed from external (private) sources on a non-recourse basis, 
and full legal ownership of the asset is retained by the Crown. 
1.5  PPP procurement has been implemented in New Zealand for the primary purpose of 
improving the focus on, and delivery of, required service outcomes from major infrastructure 
assets.  Whole of life services are purchased under a single long-term contract with 
payments to the contractor based on availability and performance of the asset.  The 
combination of assets and services required to be delivered by the private sector are referred 
to in this document as the ‘project’. 
1.6  The PPP model seeks to improve outcomes by capturing best practice and innovation from 
the private sector.  Lessons learnt from PPP projects can be implemented across a broader 
portfolio of public assets to significantly leverage the benefits of single PPP transactions.  
The competitive procurement process, focus on outcomes (with minimal input specifications 
and constraints), appropriate risk al ocation and performance based payment mechanisms 
that put private sector capital at risk optimise the incentives and flexibility for private sector 
participants to deliver innovative and effective solutions. 
1.7  PPP procurement is only used where it offers value for money over the life of the project, 
relative to conventional procurement methods.  This means achieving better outcomes from 
a project than if it were procured using conventional methods, for the same, or lower, net 
present cost. 
Questions and further information 
1.8  General enquiries about the information contained in this guidance can be sent to 
[email address].  Other guidance documents and useful information can be found at 
www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp. 
                                                 
1  
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/standard-form-ppp-project-agreement 
2     http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/guidance/glossary 
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2  Introduction 
2.1  This document provides guidance on developing the Public Sector Comparator (PSC) and 
undertaking quantitative value for money assessment for a PPP project.  It is structured in 
two parts: 
•  Part one contains an explanation of the PSC and guidance for how to assess the value 
for money of delivering a project as a PPP compared with conventional public sector 
delivery. 
•  Part two contains more detailed guidance for agencies and their advisors, including how 
to develop the PSC and Proxy Bid Model. 
2.2  This guidance document is intended to provide an overview of the PSC development 
process.  It is expected that procuring agencies wil  recruit specialist staff and advisors, and 
engage with the Treasury PPP Team, when applying the guidance. 
Core Definitions 
2.3  There are three core terms used in this guidance: the Public Sector Comparator (PSC), the 
affordability threshold and the Proxy Bid Model (PBM). 
Public Sector Comparator 
2.4  The PSC is an estimate of the risk adjusted whole of life cost of a project if it were to be 
delivered by the procuring entity using conventional procurement methods. It is primarily 
used as a benchmark against which to assess the net present cost of procuring the project 
as a PPP.  The PSC is comprised of the capital, operating and risk management costs of the 
procuring entity’s reference project and a tax adjustment to enable fair comparison with 
private sector PPP proposals. 
2.5  The PSC should be a realistic estimate of the costs incurred by the procuring entity if it were 
to deliver the project using conventional public sector delivery methods.  These costs should 
enable the procuring entity to deliver the same scope and quality of service outcomes that 
are required of the contractor under the PPP contract over the same time period. It should 
take account of the risk allocation between the procuring entity and the private sector 
consortium contracted to deliver the project as reflected in the commercial principles 
developed for the project and included in the PPP contract. 
2.6  It is important to note that the PSC may not represent the ful  costs of the project because it 
is intended to match the scope of the proposed PPP contract.  For example, the PSC for a 
PPP to design, build, finance and maintain a set of schools would not include salary costs for 
teachers because the PPP contractor is not responsible for teaching services.  Procuring 
agencies should develop whole of life cost estimates for retained costs to inform investment 
decisions and budgeting.  However, for the purposes of this guidance the term PSC refers 
only to the costs for those services that are within the scope of the proposed PPP contract, 
unless otherwise specified. 
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Reference Project 
2.7  The reference project is the whole of life asset and service delivery solution that would be 
procured using conventional methods if the project was not procured as a PPP.  It is 
primarily used as an input to the PSC and PBM.  The reference project should be designed 
and its costs estimated such that it is capable of achieving the same outcomes and 
performance requirements that are expected of the private sector under the PPP contract. 
Affordability Threshold 
2.8  The affordability threshold is disclosed to parties participating in a procurement process for a 
PPP project (the respondents) as the maximum ‘price’ that the procuring entity is prepared to 
pay a contractor for delivery of the project.  It is expressed as a single point estimate net 
present cost.  Any proposal with a net present cost in excess of the affordability threshold wil  
be considered non-compliant. 
2.9  The affordability threshold should be equal to the PSC less any additional costs that the 
procuring entity wil  incur over the life of the contract as a result of procuring the project as a 
PPP.  This may include additional transaction and contract management costs over and 
above the costs borne through conventional procurement.  Accordingly, the net present cost 
of the PPP project wil  be no more than the cost of the project if it were procured using 
conventional procurement methods. 
Proxy Bid Model 
2.10  The Proxy Bid Model (PBM) calculates the estimated periodic service charge (the unitary 
charge) that a contractor would require to finance and deliver the project to the level of 
performance specified in the PPP contract.  The procuring entity does not begin paying the 
unitary charge until the asset is operational and the contractor is delivering the required 
services. 
2.11  The PBM is comprised of the risk adjusted reference project costs with additional private 
sector financing, tax and PPP specific cost assumptions.  It uses the same underlying 
capital, operating, risk management and tax assumptions as the PSC. 
Link with Better Business Cases Guidelines 
2.12  The PSC is an important analytical tool for considering the appropriateness of procuring a 
project as a PPP.  It is important for agencies to consider this guidance document carefully 
during the development of a business case where PPP procurement is one of the 
procurement options being considered. 
2.13  Depending on the type of project being considered it may be appropriate to develop an initial 
PSC as part of the Indicative Business Case.  However, in most instances, the PSC should 
be fully developed as part of the development of the Detailed Business Case.  Procuring 
entities should contact the Treasury PPP Team for specific advice for their project. 
2.14  Guidance on applying the Better Business Cases framework is available on the Treasury 
website.3  Specific guidance on how to consider PPP procurement in the context of the 
Better Business Cases framework is included in other Treasury PPP guidance.4   
 
                                                 
3  
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/investmentmanagement/plan/bbc 
4  
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/guidance/model-and-policy 
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Part One:  
The PSC and its Application 
 
 
 
 
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3  Overview of the Public Sector Comparator 
Introduction 
3.1  The PSC is based on the procuring entity delivering the same scope of service and accepting 
the same risks as those allocated to the private sector under the PPP contract.  The PSC 
comprises the capital and operating costs for a reference project, transferred risk and a tax 
adjustment.  Figure 1 il ustrates how the series of cash flows for the PSC are presented as a 
net present cost. 
3.2  The PSC is used in setting the affordability threshold for PPP procurement, which sets the 
maximum price the procuring entity wil  pay for the project and directly influences decisions 
made by respondents in preparing their proposals.  Therefore, inputs to the PSC must be 
robustly estimated. 
Figure 1:  Components of the PSC 
Tax 
Adjustment
Transferred 
Risks
Year
Reference 
Public 
1-5
6
7
8
9+
Project
Sector
Comparator
Construction 
($NPC)
and operating 
costs if 
Net 
undertaken by 
Present 
sset
the procuring 
Cost ($)
entity
 the A
osts
osts
osts
osts
tion of
C
C
C
C
ing 
ing 
ing 
ing 
truc
at
at
at
at
ons
per
per
per
per
C
O
O
O
O
 
Purpose of the PSC 
3.3  The PSC is one of the tools used to assess the appropriateness of procuring the project as a 
PPP and is an important benchmark and evaluation tool used during the PPP procurement 
process.  Additionally, having a detailed understanding of the cost for different scope and risk 
items wil  enable the procuring entity to make informed judgements about any trade-offs that 
may be required during contract negotiations. 
 
 
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The Reference Project 
3.4  Defining the reference project is a critical first step in developing the PSC.  The reference 
project should reflect the most likely and efficient form of conventional procurement and 
service delivery that the procuring entity would use to deliver its whole of life solution for the 
project. 
3.5  The procuring entity should first determine the outcomes and performance specifications it 
requires from the project.  The reference project should be designed and its costs estimated 
such that it is capable of achieving the same outcomes and performance requirements that 
are expected of the private sector under the PPP contract. 
3.6  Developing credible cost estimates for the reference project wil  usually require the procuring 
entity to invest in a level of design documentation, although this may not be required for 
projects where alternative methodologies can provide an equivalent level of robustness (for 
example, detailed unit cost benchmarks). 
3.7  The reference project should: 
•  Reflect a best practice conventional procurement and service delivery approach. 
•  Deliver the same level and quality of service that wil  be required from the contractor and 
include all capital and operating costs associated with designing, building and operating 
/maintaining the asset or facilities. 
•  Recognise the need to coordinate design, construction, operations and maintenance to 
optimise whole of life costs. 
Transferred Risk 
3.8  Examples of transferred risks that the contractor will typically be expected to manage under a 
PPP include the risk of not completing the construction of the asset within the cost estimate 
or the required timeframes, or not achieving the required operational performance. 
3.9  Respondents wil  price their proposals taking into account their assessment of the financial 
impact of the risks they are required to bear under the PPP contract.  Given that many of the 
risks to be transferred to the contractor under the PPP wil  be borne by the procuring entity in 
the reference project, the value of transferred risks must be included in the PSC to ensure a 
fair comparison with respondents’ proposals. 
Tax Adjustment 
3.10  The tax adjustment is designed to remove net competitive advantages that accrue to the 
procuring entity by virtue of its public ownership and its exemption from paying income tax.  This 
allows a fair and equitable assessment between the PSC and proposals received for the project. 
Presentation of the PSC 
3.11  Robust input data and processing of that data in accordance with this guidance should 
produce forecast cash flows and a net present cost that represents the PSC.  The forecasts 
should be prepared on a monthly or quarterly basis, depending on the phase of the contract 
life cycle.  For example, monthly forecasting might be appropriate during the construction 
and contract start up phases.  Quarterly forecasting might be appropriate for the operating 
term of the contract.  The periods chosen should align with the periodicity of the PBM. 
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Process 
3.12  PPP procurement is a relatively long process.  In this regard the PSC is not a ‘one-time’ 
calculation and wil  need to be monitored during the procurement process and updated at 
appropriate milestones if inputs change.  Typical milestones include: 
•  Business case:  as part of the assessment of whether the project can be procured as a 
PPP and deliver value for money. 
•  Issue of the Request for Proposals (RFP):  the PSC should be reviewed and, if 
required, updated to assist in setting the affordability threshold to be included in the RFP. 
•  During the proposal preparation:  The PSC and the affordability threshold should not be 
changed once the RFP has been issued to respondents.  However, there may be rare 
situations where new information comes to light during the proposal preparation process 
that is material to the cost assumptions in the PSC.5  In these circumstances it would be 
appropriate to update the PSC to reflect the new information and issue a revised 
affordability threshold to respondents.  If an update is necessary then it should be 
communicated to respondents in a timely manner. 
Timing and Economic Assumptions 
3.13  The PSC should estimate the cash outflows associated with constructing and operating the 
asset over a time period that matches the proposed PPP contract.  The key timing and 
economic assumptions wil  include: 
•  Discount date6 
•  Construction period  
•  Operating period  
•  Construction costs 
•  Operating costs  
•  Construction escalation 
•  Operating cost escalation  
•  Labour cost escalation  
•  Operational commencement 
•  Operational commissioning period  
 
3.14  Guidance on the discount rate to be used is included in Section 8.  The timing of cash flows 
should reflect the estimated timing of when payments are made (not accrued) and 
discounting conventions should reflect the timing of cash flows within each period (for 
example, end of period or mid period). 
                                                 
5  
For example, where additional geotechnical investigations being undertaken for, or by, respondents as part of 
their due diligence reveals new information that would materially impact on construction costs for the reference 
project. 
6  
The default discount date wil  be the anticipated date of Financial Close. 
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4  Quantitative Assessment 
Introduction 
4.1  PPP procurement is only used where it offers value for money over the life of the project, 
relative to conventional procurement methods.  For the New Zealand PPP model, this means 
maximising the service benefits and outcomes of an investment at no greater cost than if it 
were delivered using conventional procurement and service delivery methods. 
4.2  Quantitative assessment involves comparing the net present whole of life cost of a PPP 
procurement option against the PSC.  The assessment is made during the following stages 
of a PPP project: 
•  During the development of the business case by comparing the net present cost of the 
PSC against the net present cost of the unitary charge calculated by the PBM. Confidence 
that any gap between the PBM and PSC can be offset by the private sector delivering 
efficiencies in underlying capital, operating and risk management costs is a prerequisite to 
a project being procured as a PPP. 
•  When proposals are received from respondents in a PPP procurement process by 
comparing the affordability threshold to the net present cost of respondents’ proposed 
unitary charge payments. 
•  As a condition to reaching Financial Close by comparing the net present cost of the final 
unitary charge to be contractualised against the maximum transaction limit approved by 
Cabinet. 
4.3  The quantitative assessment is only part of the analysis needed to determine whether a 
project should be delivered conventional y or through a PPP.  A qualitative assessment 
should also be undertaken to consider: 
•  Viability:  For example, can the service volume and quality required by the procuring 
entity be adequately and unambiguously captured in a performance based contract? 
•  Desirability:  For example, will the incentives and risk transfer incorporated in the PPP 
contract produce benefits for the procuring entity that it could not achieve through 
conventional procurement? 
•  Achievability:  For example, does the private sector have the capacity and capability to 
deliver the project? 
4.4  Further guidance regarding qualitative analysis of PPP procurement is contained in other 
guidance published by the Treasury PPP Team.7 
Procuring Entity’s Internal Costs 
4.5  The procuring entity wil  incur costs procuring the project using its conventional approach and 
subsequently managing the contract(s) for the design, build and operation /maintenance of 
the project.  Similarly, it wil  incur costs in undertaking the PPP procurement and managing 
the PPP contract. 
                                                 
7  
Refer note 4 above 
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4.6  If the procuring entity’s internal transaction and contract management costs are forecast to 
be higher for PPP procurement than conventional procurement then this cost differential 
must be deducted from the PSC for the purpose of setting the affordability threshold and 
undertaking the quantitative assessment outlined below.  Treating the procuring entity’s 
internal costs in this way is necessary to ensure that the total cost of the PPP is no more 
than if the procurement and delivery were undertaken using a conventional approach. 
Assessment Framework 
4.7  PPP projects incur additional costs over and above the costs of conventionally delivered 
projects.  These additional costs relate to private sector financing and Special Purpose 
Vehicle (SPV) costs, and the procuring entity’s additional internal costs that are specific to 
PPP procurement.  In order to provide a value for money solution to the procuring entity, the 
contractor delivering the project through a PPP wil  need to offset these additional costs 
through construction, operating, or risk management efficiencies.  These efficiencies need to 
be achieved while delivering the project outcomes to the required standard. 
4.8  Figure 2 summarises the framework for assessing value for money.  It shows how the 
maximum net present cost that the Crown would be wil ing to pay for a PPP project is equal 
to the PSC less any additional internal transaction and contract management costs.  In order 
to recommend PPP as a procurement option, the procuring entity must have confidence that 
the private sector can, and wil , deliver the minimum efficiencies required to offset the 
additional internal costs of PPP procurement. 
Business case analysis 
4.9  Quantitative assessment of a PPP is undertaken by comparing the net present cost of the 
PSC cash flows against the net present cost of the unitary charge produced by the PBM.  For 
most projects, the net present cost of the PSC cash flows wil  be less than the net present 
cost of the unitary charge calculated by the PBM, as the PBM includes private sector 
financing and SPV administration costs. 
Figure 2:  Efficiency gains required 
Minimum 
private sector 
Additional 
efficiencies 
Maximum 
procuring entity 
required
Transaction 
PPP costs
Limit
Affordability 
Threshold
Public Sector
Proxy Bid 
Comparator
Model
($NPC)
($NPC)
 
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4.10  It is difficult to estimate what level of efficiencies the private sector could achieve for a given 
project before receiving proposals from respondents.  However, using subject matter experts, 
it is possible to assess whether the private sector can produce the minimum efficiency gains 
required for PPP procurement to deliver value for money.  Confidence that the private sector 
can deliver these efficiencies is a prerequisite for recommending that a project should be 
procured as a PPP. 
Approvals 
4.11  The recommendation to procure a project as a PPP, together with the net present cost of the 
PSC, needs to be formally approved by Cabinet.  The recommendation wil  be taken to 
Cabinet by the relevant responsible Minster for the procuring entity and the Minister of 
Finance. 
Internal approvals 
4.12  The framework and process for internally approving the PSC may differ between procuring 
entities.  However, it is common for the project governance group, key business lines and the 
Chief Executive to all have a role in reviewing and approving the PSC internally. 
Cabinet approvals 
4.13  PPP projects are typically large and complex projects that create long-term fiscal liabilities for 
the Government.  Therefore, Cabinet has specific approval rights over the project. 
4.14  Procuring entities must seek Cabinet approval of the recommendation to procure the project 
as a PPP, together with the PSC.  As part of this approval, Cabinet must also approve a 
maximum transaction limit, which is the PSC less the net present cost of any additional 
procuring entity costs specific to PPP procurement.  Cabinet must also approve any change 
in the maximum transaction limit after the business case has been approved. 
4.15  When approving the business case recommending PPP procurement for the project, Cabinet 
may delegate authority to make adjustments to the PSC to joint Ministers (the relevant 
responsible Minister for the procuring entity and the Minister of Finance). 
4.16  The discount rate used to value the PSC may change over the course of a project (see 
Section 6).  Therefore, the net present cost of the PSC can change without any of the 
underlying nominal costs changing.  Discount rate driven changes in the value of the PSC do 
not need prior approval from Ministers provided that: 
•  Treasury is consulted and agrees with changes to the discount rate. 
•  There are no changes in the underlying nominal costs of the PSC. 
•  A PPP procurement is stil  demonstrated to be value for money in accordance with the 
guidance above. 
4.17  Given the potential for the present value of the PSC to vary solely due to changes in the 
discount rate, all references to net present cost in approval documents should also state the 
discount rate used to two decimal places (e.g., $100 mil ion net present cost using a nominal 
discount rate of 8.25 percent). 
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Setting the Affordability Threshold 
4.18  The affordability threshold is the maximum price that the procuring entity is prepared to pay 
for the project.  It is equal to the PSC less any PPP-specific costs the procuring entity wil  
incur over the life of the project.  The net present cost of respondents’ proposals must not be 
greater than the affordability threshold or the proposal wil  be considered non-compliant. 
4.19  A robust development process should produce a PSC that the procuring entity can be 
confident it could deliver the project within using conventional procurement and delivery 
methods.  Following the quantitative assessment outlined above, the procuring entity should 
also be confident that the private sector could overcome any additional costs incurred as a 
result of procuring the project as a PPP and be able to deliver the outcomes required from 
the project within the affordability threshold. 
Financial Close 
4.20  The final quantitative assessment occurs immediately prior to Financial Close.  Authority to 
bring the project to Financial Close is vested in a nominated official from the procuring entity. 
4.21  One of the conditions that must be met before the nominated official can exercise their 
authority is that the final unitary charge (incorporating then current interest rates) has a net 
present cost no greater than the maximum transaction limit that was approved by Cabinet 
prior to commencing the procurement.  Advisors should be available to undertake 
appropriate analysis and confirm that the condition is met. 
 
 
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Part Two:   
Detailed Guidance 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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5  Risk Quantification 
Introduction 
5.1  Respondents to a PPP procurement process wil  price the risks they are expected to bear 
under the PPP contract.  That is, the price of their proposals wil  include allowances for their 
estimate of the costs they expect to incur in managing and dealing with risks transferred to 
them. 
5.2  The PSC must include comprehensive and realistic estimates of the financial impact of all 
quantifiable and material risks that the procuring entity would be exposed to under 
conventional procurement and delivery methods.  This is consistent with the PSC 
representing the full cost of the procuring entity delivering the proposed scope of work to be 
included in the PPP contract. 
5.3  In addition to specific risk events, the PSC must also take into account the risk that volume or 
unit cost (rate) inputs used to forecast the total cost of the reference project are materially 
inaccurate relative to actual outturn costs. The extent of forecasting inaccuracy will vary 
between projects.  For example, it might be possible to forecast prices and quantities for 
some less complex building projects with a high degree of accuracy.  More complex projects, 
or projects where certain physical parameters are inherently difficult to forecast, such as 
projects with large earthworks and uncertain ground conditions, may have higher levels of 
forecasting inaccuracy. 
Types of Risk 
Systematic and  unsystematic risk 
5.4  There are two broad categories of risk that need to be considered and accounted for in the 
PSC and the PBM: 
•  Unsystematic risks (also called unique, specific or diversifiable risks) which are specific 
events associated with an individual project (e.g., the risk that ground conditions are 
materially worse than thought). 
•  Systematic risks (also called market risk or non-diversifiable risk) which result from 
economy-wide events that affect all businesses (e.g., the risk that a general economic 
downturn renders key sub-contractors insolvent). 
5.5  In project risk quantification, unsystematic risks should be quantified in the cash flow 
projections through quantitative modelling techniques (for example, sensitivity analysis, 
scenario analysis, simulation modelling, Monte Carlo modelling).  Systematic risks are 
factored into the discount rate and should not be included in the cash flows. 
5.6  The remainder of this section discusses how unsystematic risks should be quantified and 
included in the PSC cash flows.  Section 6 discusses how the discount rate for PPP projects 
should be estimated to incorporate the systematic risks that are transferred to the private 
sector in a PPP project. 
Transferred versus retained risk 
5.7  Under a PPP contract, unsystematic risks are transferred to the private sector, retained by 
the public sector or shared between both.  The procuring entity should transfer all 
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unsystematic risks to the contractor unless a better value for money outcome can be 
achieved by the procuring entity retaining specific risks.  This reflects the principle that each 
risk should be allocated to the party best able to manage it for the least cost. 
5.8  Risk allocation should be based on the scope of services for the PPP, an assessment of the 
ability of each party to reduce the probability and impact of a risk occurring, and the risk 
allocation incorporated in the Treasury’s Standard Form PPP Project Agreement. 
5.9  Retained risks are those risks that the procuring entity proposes to bear itself under the PPP.  
Examples of retained risks include law changes with material capital or operating cost 
impacts applying specifically to the project and the risk of obtaining a designation for the 
project under the Resource Management Act 1991. 
5.10  The procuring entity should identify and quantify all material retained and transferred risks.  
However, only transferred risks should be included in the PSC.  This is because respondents 
to the RFP wil  only price the risks that have been transferred to them, so in order for the 
PSC to act as a comparable benchmark it must exclude retained risks.  Estimates of retained 
risks wil  be useful for internal project budgeting and for adjusting the PSC if a decision is 
made during the procurement process to transfer additional risks to the PPP contractor. 
Identifying Risks 
5.11  Initially risks should be identified through consideration of precedent projects and in 
consultation with the Treasury PPP Team.  The list of initial risks should be refined by subject 
matter experts, typically through a workshop process attended by relevant procuring entity 
staff, advisors and a representative from the Treasury PPP Team.  The output of the 
workshop is a PSC risk register that should contain as a minimum: 
•  A description of each risk. 
•  The timeframe over which the risk may eventuate and whether it is a ‘one off’ or recurring 
risk. 
•  The likelihood of the risk occurring (expressed as a probability percentage). 
•  The cost if the risk does occur and whether it is a ‘one off’ or recurring cost. 
•  The basis on which the cost impacts have been established. 
•  How each risk wil  be al ocated under the PPP contract (retained, transferred or shared). 
5.12  The workshop process to identify risks requires careful management to ensure that all 
relevant risks are identified and described.  The workshop wil  need to be guided to ensure: 
•  It focuses on identifying and quantifying risks to the reference project assuming 
conventional procurement and delivery methods (risk management benefits available to a 
PPP contractor and not the procuring entity should not be included). 
•  The risk register excludes systematic risks, which are accounted for through the 
specification of the discount rate. 
•  Expert, but subjective, judgements of probability and impact do not suffer from ‘optimism 
bias’. 
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•  Care is taken to not ‘double count’ risks that may already be captured in contingencies 
within the underlying cost estimates (it is preferable for these contingencies to be removed 
and the risks that they are intending to cover be modelled specifically). 
5.13  Appendix A contains high level guidance on the categories of risks that would typically be 
included in a risk register for a design, build, finance and maintain PPP (which excludes core 
operations from scope) and the allocation of risks between the procuring entity and the 
contractor. 
Quantifying Risks 
Cost impact of individual  risks 
5.14  The value of transferred risk should reflect the current level of knowledge about the project 
and the cost of potential future events occurring during the term of the PPP contract.  The 
probability and cost impact of a risk occurring wil  depend significantly on the nature of the 
project.  Probabilities and costs for some risks might be lower where the reference project 
has been specified to a higher degree. 
5.15  The cost impact assessment must be completed from the procuring entity’s perspective.  
Only those risks that would have a cost impact on the procuring entity under conventional 
procurement and delivery methods (if they were to occur) should be included.  Likewise, the 
cost impacts should reflect the likely costs that the procuring agency would incur to manage 
the risk. 
5.16  Events that are considered uninsurable (for example, an act of terrorism or certain force 
majeure events) are generally excluded from the analysis as they are almost always retained 
risks and are also either unquantifiable or have a very low probability of occurrence and 
therefore wil  not have any material impact on modelled outcomes. 
5.17  Risks that do have a cost impact should be expressed as a distribution.  A common 
distribution for quantifying risks is a symmetrical triangular distribution which requires 
workshop participants to estimate the minimum, most likely and maximum cost impact of the 
risk if it were to occur.8  For example: 
•  The minimum impact may represent a 10% probability that the cost wil  be less than or 
equal to this amount. 
•  The most likely impact may represent a 50% probability that the cost wil  be less than or 
equal to this amount. 
•  The maximum impact may represent a 90% probability that the cost wil  be less than or 
equal to this amount. 
5.18  The distribution of cost impact for some risks may have a different ‘skew’. These should be 
identified and justified during the risk workshops and the probability estimates adjusted 
accordingly. 
                                                 
8  
Partnerships British Columbia (2014) Methodology for Quantitative Procurement Options Analysis Discussion 
Paper 
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Price (rate) and quantity forecasting 
5.19  Forecasting the cost of constructing and operating the reference project wil  require 
assumptions about the quantity and price of materials and inputs.  These quantities and 
prices will inevitably be subject to inaccuracies when compared with final outturn costs, with 
the level of inaccuracy varying depending on the nature of the project and the quality of the 
forecasting. 
5.20  Where there is a relatively high level of uncertainty, prices and quantities should be 
expressed as a range.  This might be expressed as an uncertainty range around a point 
estimate.  For example, $x +/- 10%.  This approach enables price and quantity uncertainties 
to be modelled and expressed as a distribution and combined with the cost impact 
distribution of the specific risks identified in the risk workshop. 
Risk modelling 
5.21  The approach of identifying cost impacts at different levels of probability means there wil  not 
be a single estimate of the total risk attributable to the project.  The likelihood and cost 
impact estimates in the risk register should be used as inputs to a risk model that simulates 
potential outcomes.  The application of Monte-Carlo simulation, for example, will generate 
numerous potential outcome values, which wil  allow the risks to be expressed as a 
distribution.  The following matters should be considered when constructing the risk curves: 
•  The distribution for each risk. 
•  The relationship or correlation between individual risks or categories of risks (including 
any diversification benefits). 
•  Whether potential cost impacts are expressed in nominal or real terms. 
•  How the outputs wil  interface with the PSC and PBM models. 
•  Diversification impacts on the total risk value. 
5.22  Adding the risk distribution into the PSC wil  convert the PSC into a probability distribution.  
For example, the PSC at the P60 level can be interpreted as a 60 percent probability that 
actual costs would be less than or equal to the P60 number.  The same approach can also 
be used to express the PBM as a probability distribution (Figure 3).  Expressing both the 
PSC and PBM as distributions rather than as point estimates provides further information 
about the potential impact of risks on the total cost of the project and the level of efficiencies 
the private sector wil  need to generate in order to at least match the PSC and provide value 
for money. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Figure 3:  Il ustrative PSC and PBM probability distributions 
Net Present Cost
  
Review of Risk Quantification Outputs for Reasonableness 
5.23  Risk modelling results must be reviewed for reasonableness.  This might involve: 
•  Comparing the initial views on risk occurrence and impact with the modelled cash flow 
impact on the PSC. 
•  Testing model outcomes using different distributions to ensure that the profile is consistent 
with expectations. 
•  Comparing the percentage increase in the net present cost of various components of the 
reference project as a result of the risk quantification exercise against comparable 
precedent projects. 
Selecting a Point Estimate for the PSC 
5.24  Ultimately, a single point on the distribution curve must be chosen in order to determine a 
single point estimate of the PSC.  Selecting a point estimate requires an assessment of, 
among other things, the level of risk that the procuring entity is prepared to take that the PSC 
is above (or below) what the actual outturn cost would be if the project was procured using 
conventional methods.  The expectation is that the forecasted costs wil  always be the result 
of a robust analytical process and that, all other things being equal, point estimates should 
be within the P50 to P75 range. 
5.25  Selecting a point estimate with a higher P-value wil  provide greater certainty that the actual 
outturn cost would be less than or equal to the PSC.  However, given that the New Zealand 
PPP model encourages respondents to the RFP to maximise the quality of outcomes within 
the affordability threshold (based on the PSC), selecting a higher P-value upon which to base 
the point estimate of the PSC wil  mean that the cost of the project to the procuring entity is 
likely to be higher (but also that the quality of outcomes should increase accordingly).  
Selecting a point estimate with a lower P-value wil  reduce the costs to the procuring entity, 
but increase the risk that the affordability threshold wil  be set too low for respondents to 
deliver the desired outcomes. 
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5.26  Consideration should also be given to the shape (standard deviation) of the PSC distribution.  
Cost in a ‘wide’ distribution wil  be more sensitive to changes in the P-value than cost in a 
‘narrow’ distribution.  Figure 4 il ustrates that the net present cost at P50 is the same 
regardless of the shape of the distribution but that the net present cost of the P75 point 
estimate is lower in a narrow distribution than in a wide distribution. 
Figure 4:  Net present cost sensitivity to changes in probability (P-value) 
Location of P75 value on point estimate distribution curve                    P-Value vs Net Present Cost of two distributions
 Density
lue
Probability
P-Va
Net Present Cost
Net Present Cost
  
5.27  Factors that influence the shape of the distribution include the level of inaccuracy assumed in 
the procuring entity’s price and quantity forecasts (with greater inaccuracies widening the 
distribution) and the level of knowledge about the treatment for specific risks.  Procuring 
entities can reduce the variability of forecast point estimates by developing the design detail 
of the reference project, thereby increasing the accuracy of price and quantity forecasts, and 
treatments for specific risks. 
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6  Proxy Bid Model 
Introduction 
6.1  The PBM represents the cost of the risk adjusted reference project with the addition of 
private sector financing, tax and PPP specific costs.9  The PBM calculates the estimated 
periodic amount (the unitary charge) that a contractor would require as payment for 
delivering all of the services and providing the financing required for the project. 
Figure 5: Components of the Proxy Bid Model 
Proxy Bid Model
Financing 
Costs
SPV Admin
Tax Costs
Transferred 
Risks
Reference 
Uses the 
Project
same inputs 
as the PSC
Construction 
Unitary Charge
and lifecycle 
Net 
Year
capital and 
Present 
1        5        10        15        20        25        30
operating costs
Cost ($)
 
6.2  As a result of additional private sector costs, the net present cost of the PBM will be higher 
than the PSC.  This difference between the PSC and the PBM provides an indication of the 
efficiencies that the contractor would have to find in order to deliver the project at a net 
present cost equal to or less than the PSC.  The contractor will also need to find further 
additional efficiencies to in order to offset the procuring entity’s additional internal PPP 
procurement costs in order to deliver the project within the affordability threshold (refer 
Figure 2). 
6.3  The key outputs from the PBM are: 
•  The periodic unitary charge over the term of the PPP project agreement. 
•  The present value of the unitary charge in order to undertake the quantitative assessment 
described in Section 4. 
                                                 
9    For example, SPV administration costs and the costs of developing proposals. 
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•  Information needed to model the impact of the PPP on the procuring agency’s financial 
statements and funding requirements.  The PBM can be ‘solved’ such that its net present 
cost equals that of the PSC.  The unitary charge of the ‘solved’ PBM can be used to 
provide guidance to the procuring entity on the potential annual costs of the PPP that it 
wil  have to fund. 
Methodology 
6.4  The PBM takes all of the input costs from the PSC, including capital and operating costs and 
quantified risks, and uses current financial market interest rates, observable interest margins, 
equity returns and gearing levels to derive an appropriate financing structure for the project. 
6.5  The critical inputs in the PBM not included in the PSC are the financing assumptions.  The 
PBM is typically modelled assuming funding is provided on a non-recourse basis to a SPV.10 
6.6  The PBM should be developed in line with the following steps: 
•  Project operating revenues (if any), operating expenses and capital expenditure are used 
to generate operating cash flows for the project. 
•  PPP specific costs such as SPV administration costs are added to the PSC costs. 
•  Debt, equity and taxation cash flows that broadly reflect current market conditions are 
added to the operating cash flows. 
•  The unitary charge is calculated to meet all of the costs of the project, including taxation 
and the required return on, and return of, debt and equity capital. 
Cost, Timing and Economic Assumptions 
6.7  The PBM uses the same cost, timing and economic inputs as used in the PSC.  That is, the 
same base capital and operating costs, risk adjustments and escalation profiles apply to the 
PBM as to the PSC. 
Forecasting periods 
6.8  Monthly forecasting wil  generally be appropriate during the construction period.  The period 
convention during the operating term of the contract wil  be determined by a number of 
factors but primarily the financing structure, particularly the debt facilities, and the anticipated 
frequency of unitary charge payments.  For example, if the interest rate for one or more of 
the contractor’s debt facilities is referenced to the 90 day bank bil  rate then modelling wil  be 
required on a quarterly basis (strictly 90 day periods) to provide accurate calculations of 
interest rate costs. 
                                                 
10    The SPV wil  most likely be a limited liability company or limited partnership.  In a typical structure the SPV wil  
contract with a construction sub-contractor to build the asset and an operator to operate and maintain the asset.  
It will borrow in its own right to pay the construction sub-contractor for building the asset.  The debt and equity 
funding wil  be advanced to the SPV by investors on the strength of the payments that the SPV wil  expect to 
receive under its contract with the procuring entity. 
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Financing Assumptions 
6.9  Overall structural assumptions need to be made for the financing approach adopted in the 
PBM.  For example: 
•  Financing cash flows during the construction period:  A reasonable assumption, consistent 
with recent PPP projects, is that the cash outflows during construction are financed firstly 
with debt, with equity to be contributed after all debt is drawn down.  However, equity is 
committed from commencement of the PPP contract with consequential fees being paid to 
the equity providers. 
•  Construction debt interest:  Capitalised through to the end of construction when it is 
incorporated into a term debt facility. 
•  The term facility refinancing:  Refinanced with a bullet repayment that pays down the 
balance of the outstanding debt with a new term facility on nominated refinancing dates. 
6.10  The Treasury PPP Team maintains a record of financing terms observed in all PPP 
procurement processes to date and should be consulted on appropriate assumptions to be 
applied to individual projects. 
Gearing levels 
6.11  PPP projects are typically highly geared.  A high level of debt in the financing structure for a 
PPP wil  be cost effective (the return on debt is lower than the return on equity).  A debt to 
equity ratio of 85:15 would not be unusual for a PPP. 
6.12  The maximum level of debt wil  be a function of debt sizing criteria agreed between the 
contractor and its lenders.  Debt sizing criteria wil  typically include a maximum gearing ratio 
(debt as a percentage of debt plus equity) and a maximum Debt Service Coverage Ratio 
(DSCR).  The DSCR is the ratio of cash available for debt servicing to debt service costs, 
inclusive of interest and fees.  The maximum gearing ratio and DSCR constrain debt to a 
level that can be serviced with an acceptable cash flow buffer. 
Debt tenor 
6.13  The debt facility during construction will typically be in place for the entire construction period 
and wil  convert into a term facility at, or near, the end of construction (it may include the lock 
in period).11  Re-financing of the term facility will occur periodically where the tenor of the 
underlying debt is shorter than the contract term. 
6.14  The available tenor of debt facilities in New Zealand is relatively short by international 
standards.  This means that multiple re-financings of the term debt might be required. 
6.15  The debt tenor is important because fees wil  be charged at each refinancing.  These fees 
need to be accounted for in the unitary charge calculation, as the unitary charge needs to 
provide sufficient cash to cover fees as well as interest payments and principal repayments. 
                                                 
11   Equity investors are restricted from selling their equity stake in the project during the lock-in period, typically 
ending 12 months following Service Commencement. 
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The cost of debt financing 
The cost of debt can be specified according to the following formula: 
𝑅𝑑 = 𝑏 + 𝑚 + 𝑓 
Where: 
𝑏 = base interest rates. 
𝑚 = interest rate margin. 
𝑓 = debt issuance costs and other financing fees. 
Base interest rates 
6.16  The default approach to debt financing expected in all PPP projects is: 
•  The contractor wil  be required to provide the procuring entity with a fixed base interest 
rate for the duration of the construction period and the lock-in period (initial hedge period). 
•  After the initial hedge period, the contractor wil  not be required to provide a fixed interest 
rate unless it can do so for the entire term of the senior debt (noting that debt is typically 
fully repaid before the expiry of the PPP contract).  In the absence of the private sector 
providing a long-term fixed interest rate solution, the contractor wil  be paid on the basis of 
floating interest rates (typically the 90 day bank bil  rate).  Hedging requirements for the 
term of the contract after the end of the lock-in period wil  be subject to separate 
arrangements between the Treasury and the procuring entity and wil  not involve the 
contractor. 
6.17  The base interest rates to apply will be: 
•  A base swap rate matching the duration of the initial hedge period. 
•  The base interest rate forecast to apply after the initial hedge period wil  be provided by 
the Treasury PPP Team.  These forecasts may change over the course of a PPP 
procurement process in response to changes in market conditions, including leading up to 
Financial Close. 
Interest  rate  margins 
6.18  Interest rate margins (credit margin over the base interest rates) can be estimated by 
reference to margins applied in recent PPP projects and taking into account current market 
conditions.  The margins should be assumed to reduce following completion of construction, 
to reflect a reduction in exposure to design and construction related risks. 
Financing Fees 
6.19  Fees wil  be payable in relation to equity and debt finance.  Consistent with recent market 
trends, the following types of financing fees should be included in the calculation of the 
unitary charge: 
•  Arrangement fees paid at Financial Close, expressed as a percentage of the total debt 
facility size. 
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•  Commitment fees, which are a percentage to be paid quarterly on undrawn debt facility 
balances.  The fee rate wil  be expressed annually but paid quarterly. 
•  Refinance fees, which are assumed to be ‘one off’ fees paid after the committed facility 
matures at each refinancing event. 
Repayment profile 
6.20  The term facility debt can be amortised using a credit foncier repayment profile ‘sculpted’ to 
take into account the project’s DSCR requirements. This method of amortisation provides 
flexibility around repayments so they can vary in accordance with lumpy expenditure such as 
lifecycle maintenance expenditure.  The sculpted debt approach is common to projects of 
this nature. 
6.21  Depending on the nature of the project, it may be appropriate to incorporate a Debt Service 
Reserve Account (DSRA).  This wil  typically hold a balance equivalent to a number of 
months of future debt service obligations.  The initial balance of the DSRA would be funded 
through the construction facility. 
6.22  The alternative is to establish a debt service reserve facility.  This wil  incur fees, similar to 
the other debt facilities incorporated into the capital structure, as opposed to interest costs 
associated with establishing a funded DSRA. 
Target equity return 
6.23  The target post-tax equity IRR underpins the calculated level of the unitary charge. The PBM 
calculates a unitary charge that provides sufficient cash to meet the post-tax equity IRR after 
operating costs, debt service costs and any SPV taxation.  The target post-tax equity IRR 
should be set taking into account general market conditions, by reference to appropriate 
evidence of investor returns and in consultation with the Treasury PPP Team. 
Taxation Calculations 
6.24  If the SPV is a limited liability company then it wil  pay tax on assessable income.  If the SPV 
is a limited liability partnership then assessable income wil  be taxed in the hands of the SPV 
investors.  The unitary charge needs to deliver sufficient cash to cover the tax costs, whether 
they are incurred at the SPV or investor level. 
6.25  A tax calculation wil  be required as part of the unitary charge calculations.  A tax calculation 
wil  also be required to produce the tax adjustment discussed in Section 7. 
6.26  The tax calculations should take into account the contractual structure incorporated into the 
Treasury Standard Form PPP Project Agreement and be consistent with the IRD’s Public 
Rulings on the PPP contractual framework and any subsequent future rulings.12 
Goods and Services Tax 
6.27  The inputs to the PBM should be exclusive of Goods and Services Tax (GST).  This will 
produce a unitary charge exclusive of GST. 
                                                 
12   http://www.ird.govt.nz/technical-tax/public-rulings/2013/public-ruling-13005-13006.html  
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6.28  GST cash flow timings may have a working capital impact.  RFP respondents wil  model GST 
flows and incorporate the financing cost of any timing issues into the unitary charge.  
However, the impact on the unitary charge is unlikely to be material so GST modelling will 
not usually be undertaken for the PBM. 
Unitary Charge Profile 
Indexation 
6.29  The unitary charge can be modelled on the basis it wil  be escalated in line with forecast 
escalation of the underlying costs.  However, different costs are likely to escalate at different 
rates which means the escalation rate applied to the unitary charge wil  need to represent a 
weighted average of the underlying cost escalation rates. 
6.30  Typical indices that escalation rates are derived from are: 
•  Consumer price index (CPI), to reflect general inflation in operating costs. 
•  Labour cost index (LCI), to reflect inflation in personnel costs. 
6.31  Not all of the unitary charge wil  be adjusted for cost escalation.  A component wil  be fixed 
and not escalated.  The fixed component wil  usually represent the proportion of the unitary 
charge to be applied to servicing the capital used to construct or deliver the project. 
6.32  Some financing structures incorporate indexed equity.  For example, where a component (or 
all) of the outstanding equity at the end of each period is indexed to CPI with a consequential 
impact on the unitary charge. 
Maintenance  Reserve Account 
6.33  Operating expenditure wil  be comprised of both costs that wil  not change significantly from 
period to period and costs that wil  be volatile or ‘lumpy’.  Lifecycle maintenance expenditure 
wil  typically be the primary cause of significant spikes in the unitary charge. 
6.34  The variability in expenditure caused by lifecycle maintenance and other lumpy expenditure 
can be incorporated unadjusted from the PSC into the unitary charge.  This wil  result in a 
lumpy unitary charge profile. 
6.35  Alternatively, the unitary charge can be smoothed to remove the variability caused by the 
lumpy expenditure.  This is achieved by assuming that the SPV will deposit cash into a 
designated reserve account over time and draw on this to fund subsequent lumpy lifecycle 
maintenance expenditure. Senior debt repayments wil  be sculpted around movements in the 
reserve account balances. 
6.36  There wil  be a financing cost to the procuring entity of using a reserve account to smooth the 
impact of lumpy operating expenditure on the unitary charge.  In comparison, there wil  not 
be any financing cost within the PBM if the lumpy expenditure is passed through to the 
unitary charge with no smoothing.  Therefore smoothing is unlikely to provide value for 
money and is not recommended unless stability of cash flow is important for the procuring 
entity. 
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7  Tax Adjustment 
Introduction 
7.1  Private sector respondents for a PPP contract wil  be taxpayers, whereas public sector 
entities do not usually pay tax. A tax adjustment is included in the PSC to minimise the 
impact of differences in tax status to ensure a fair comparison between the PSC and private 
sector PPP proposals. 
Impact of Taxation 
7.2  The unitary charge wil  be calculated to provide the PPP contractor with sufficient cash to: 
•  Pay interest at pre-tax rates. 
•  Pay any tax incurred by the SPV. 
•  Make distributions to equity providers that wil  allow them to pay any tax they incur on 
those distributions and provide them with their required post-tax return. 
7.3  Consequently, the unitary charge wil  be sufficient to pay all tax on the returns on the capital 
(debt and equity) provided to finance the construction of the asset and any other investment 
needed during the contract term, and provide the debt and equity investors with their 
required post-tax rates of return.13 
7.4  In contrast, public entities are generally not taxpayers.  Therefore, the PSC cash flows do not 
include any explicit tax outflow for returns on the capital provided to finance the construction 
of assets.  This difference in tax status is one of the reasons why the PSC cash flows wil  be 
different to the cash flows that drive the unitary charge calculation in the PBM. 
Rationale for Adjustment 
7.5  The difference in tax status between the procuring entity and the private sector participants in 
a PPP provides the PSC cash flows with a cost advantage compared to the unitary charge.  
However, the tax status difference is a function of policy and legislation.  It is not something 
that private sector entities can change or influence in the context of pricing a proposal for a 
PPP contract.  Furthermore, because the component of the unitary charge attributable to tax 
to be paid by the debt and equity investors wil  eventually be returned to the Crown when the 
tax is paid, it should not be a factor that influences the choice of procurement. 
7.6  Taxes other than income tax on investment returns (for example, tax on construction 
company profits) are likely to be the same under either a conventional procurement or a PPP 
so their impacts do not need to be neutralised. 
                                                 
13    It wil  also provide sufficient cash to pay for the operating costs, lifecycle maintenance and the return of capital to 
the investors. 
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Adjustment Process 
7.7  The impact of the difference in tax status needs to be neutralised to enable a fair comparison 
between the PSC and the PBM (and the price of private sector proposals).  This could be 
achieved by calculating the present value of the PSC and the unitary charge using a pre-tax 
discount rate, reflecting that the PSC cash flows and the unitary charge are, in effect, pre-tax 
cash flows. 
7.8  However, the discount rate used to calculate the present value of the unitary charge and the 
PSC cash flows is specified, in the first instance, as a post-tax weighted average cost of 
capital (WACC). 
7.9  WACC is specified on a post-tax basis because, among other reasons, some of its key 
parameters can only be observed on a post-tax basis.  Furthermore, it is not appropriate to 
simply gross-up the post-tax discount rate using the corporate tax rate (28%), as forecast 
cash tax in each year is unlikely to be 28% of the pre-tax cash flows (because of timing and 
permanent tax differences) and the forecast period is finite. 
7.10  Therefore, the following process needs to be followed to correctly estimate the present value 
of the tax adjustment: 
•  Calculate the present value of the PSC cash flows using the post-tax discount rate (post-
tax WACC). 
•  Calculate the tax payable on SPV pre-financing earnings (cash flows available to the 
providers of debt and equity) in the PBM. 
•  Calculate the present value of the tax payable (calculated in 2) using the post-tax discount 
rate. 
•  Adding the present value of the tax payable (calculated in 3) to the present value of the 
PSC cash flows (calculated in 1). 
 
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8  Discount Rates 
Introduction 
8.1  The discount rate is used to calculate the present value of the: 
•  Forecast capital and operating costs (both inclusive of quantified transferred risks) in the 
PSC. 
•  Unitary charge in the PBM. 
•  Tax adjustment to the PSC. 
•  Unitary charge proposed by respondents. 
8.2  The present values are used for a number of purposes and at various times during the 
procurement process.  In particular: 
•  The present values of the PSC forecast costs and the PBM unitary charge are used as 
inputs into the assessment of the appropriateness of procuring the asset or service 
through a PPP. 
•  The present value of the PSC is used to set the affordability threshold for disclosure in the 
RFP. 
•  The present value of each respondent’s proposed unitary charge is used to test that they 
are less than or equal to the affordability threshold. 
•  Monitoring the present value of the preferred bidder’s unitary charge during the preferred 
bidder stage to ensure that the present value of the unitary charge remains below the 
approved transaction limit leading up to, and at, Financial Close. 
8.3  A consistent discount rate specification must be used for all present value calculations to 
ensure that the analyses, assessments and decisions being made on the basis of the 
present values are robust and have integrity.  The discount rate should reflect the cost of 
capital for the project, adjusted for the systematic risks that the private sector is expected to 
bear under the PPP contract. 
The Discount Rate Model 
8.4  A procuring entity considering investment in an asset to deliver services faces two important 
decisions: 
•  Investment decision:  Whether it is sensible to invest in the asset in the first instance.  
This wil  require consideration of, among other things, whether society is better off 
foregoing current consumption and reallocating resources to investment in the asset.  The 
assessment required for this decision is focused on the relationship between economic 
benefits and economic costs. 
•  Procurement decision:  If the cost benefit analysis concludes that investment is 
appropriate, the next decision is how to procure the asset and the associated services.  In 
the context of this document the decision is between conventional procurement or PPP 
procurement. 
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8.5  The analysis at both of these decision points requires present values of benefits and costs or 
revenues and expenditure to be calculated using appropriate discount rates.  The 
appropriate discount rate to use for the investment decision should be developed in 
consultation with the Treasury PPP Team and in accordance with published guidance.14 
8.6  The procurement decision can be characterised as the procuring entity determining what 
delivery approach wil  provide the best combination of quality of service, management of 
project risk and cost effectiveness.  Value for money is an important component of the 
procurement decision.  The discount rate is used to calculate and compare the present day 
cost of procuring a project as a PPP and procuring the project using conventional methods. 
Risk adjusted cost of capital 
8.7  A fundamental principle underpinning the calculation of the discount rate for the procurement 
decision is that it should reflect the marginal cost of capital for the project.  That is, a cost of 
capital that is based on the returns of alternative investment opportunities with similar risk 
profiles to the project.15 
8.8  The rate at which the government can borrow from financial markets (the risk free rate) is not 
an appropriate discount rate for the procurement decision.  The risk free rate reflects that 
lenders to the government are not exposed to risks relating to the performance of public sector 
investments and have their rate of return underpinned by the government’s power to tax. 
8.9  The risk free rate does not adequately reflect risk that wil  be borne by investors in a project, 
regardless of whether it is the procuring entity or the private sector through a PPP.  In 
contrast, respondents to an RFP wil  be pricing their required rates of return on investment 
capital to reflect the risk of their investment in the project.  Using the risk free rate to discount 
the PSC would be inconsistent with the true cost of capital for the project and the cost of 
financing the project as a PPP.  Consequently, the quantitative assessment would be biased 
against procuring a project as a PPP. 
                                                 
14   http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/guidance/planning/costbenefitanalysis/ 
15   For a more extensive discussion of this principle see Discussion Paper: Methodology for Quantitative 
Procurement Options Analysis available at http://www.partnershipsbc.ca/files-4/guidance.php  
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Specification of the Discount Rate 
8.10  A single discount rate specification is to be used in all present value calculations.  This is to 
be calculated as a post-tax, nominal WACC using Equation 1.  This is a standard 
specification of the cost of capital used widely in New Zealand. 
Equation 1:  Weighted average cost of capital 
𝐷
𝐸
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑅𝑑 × (1 − 𝑇𝑐) × 𝑉 + 𝑅𝑒 × 𝑉 
Where the variables are: 
𝑅𝑑 
The pre-tax cost of debt  (comprised of base interest, credit risk 
margin and other debt issuance costs). 
𝑇𝑐 
The prevailing corporate tax rate. 
D, E and V 
The market values of debt and equity respectively. V is the sum of 
D  and  E.  Therefore, 𝐷  and  𝐸  represent the relative weighting of 
𝑉
𝑉
debt and equity used to finance the project. 
𝑅𝑒 
The cost of equity capital and represents the return required by 
equity investors to compensate them for the variability of the return 
on their investment (dividends and capital gains).  The variability is 
a function of the: 
o  Variability in operating profit before interest. 
o  Influence of debt servicing on cash flows.  As debt investors 
take priority over equity investors in terms of receiving 
compensation out of cash flow,  the returns to equity investors 
are influenced by the level of prior fixed obligations payable to 
debt investors (ie, financing risk). 
 
8.11  The cost of equity is estimated using the Brennan-Lally specification of the capital asset 
pricing model (CAPM).  This is presented in Equation 2. 
Equation 2:  CAPM 
𝑅𝑒 = 𝑅𝑓 × (1 − 𝑇𝑖) + 𝛽𝑒 × 𝑇𝐴𝑀𝑅𝑃 
Where: 
𝑅𝑓 
Risk free rate – the return on a risk free asset. 
𝑇𝑖 
Investor tax rate. 
𝛽𝑒 
Equity beta, which is calculated as: 
𝐷
𝛽𝑎 �1 + � 
𝐸
Where: 
𝛽𝑎= asset beta 
𝑇𝐴𝑀𝑅𝑃 
Tax adjusted market risk premium. 
 
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8.12  The specification of the WACC model in Equation 1 and the CAPM in Equation 2 is 
consistent with the specification of the cost of capital used by the Commerce Commission for 
setting price paths for regulated businesses.  It is also used by most private sector 
companies and corporate finance analysts in New Zealand when evaluating investment 
projects.  It takes account of the specific features of the imputation of dividends in New 
Zealand.  The CAPM specification is also generally consistent with the model used to 
determine the Treasury’s public sector discount rate. 
Inputs 
8.13  The key discount rate inputs should reflect the nature, risks and structure of the project being 
evaluated.  The individual inputs to the model are presented in Table 1.  The values of some 
of the inputs wil  vary between projects while others wil  be consistent between projects but 
may vary over time.  As a consequence the discount rate for each PPP project is likely to be 
different. 
8.14  In line with broader Treasury guidance on developing discount rates for a project, if a cost of 
capital in its entirety or inputs to the cost of capital calculation can be observed from closely 
comparable projects then these should be used in the first instance.  For PPP projects, cost 
of capital inputs can be observed in the financial models that respondents provide as part of 
their proposals.  The cost of capital for each proposal is developed under competitive tension 
(both as between capital providers to different consortia, and as between capital providers 
and other members of a given consortium) and can be assumed to be efficiently priced.  
Therefore, previous projects wil  be an important source of information on cost of capital 
inputs when deriving the cost of capital for a specific project. 
Table 1:  WACC Component Descriptions 
Component 
Description 
Comments 
D/V and E/V  Relative proportions of debt and 
PPP projects are typical y highly geared (high levels of 
equity in the capital structure.  This is  debt and relatively low levels of equity) at 
referred to as gearing. 
commencement of the operating period.  The actual 
level of gearing wil  depend on the nature of the project 
but an accommodation or roading PPP could have 
gearing in excess of 80% (but unlikely to be in excess 
of 90%).  PPP projects with significant service 
components and greater degrees of risk transfer may 
have gearing lower than 80%. 
Rd 
The project’s cost of debt. 
The total return to the providers of debt capital 
comprising the interest rate on debt plus debt issuance 
costs or fees.16  The cost of debt in the WACC should 
be consistent with the cost of debt used in the cash 
flows to derive the unitary charge in the PBM. 
Tc 
The corporate tax rate. 
The prevailing corporate tax rate. 
Rf 
The risk free rate of interest (long-
Government stock yields are appropriate indicators of 
term government stock yields). 
risk free rates.  Risk free rates can be derived by 
observing forward longer term rates from the then 
current government stock yield curve. For example, the 
ten year rate that wil  apply in ten years time. 
                                                 
16    Costs charged by the debt providers to establish the debt facility, maintain the commitment of undrawn amounts 
and refinance the debt. 
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Component 
Description 
Comments 
Ti 
Investor tax rate. 
Assumed to be equal to the prevailing corporate tax 
rate. 
Be 
Equity beta = Ba*(1 + D/E).  Ba is the  Asset betas reflect the contribution to portfolio risk of an 
asset beta. 
investment, independent of financing (ie, the riskiness 
of the business itself).  It is expected that most assets 
or services being delivered through PPP procurement 
are likely to be exposed to relatively low levels of 
systematic risk and that asset betas for most PPP 
projects will fall within a similar range.  The Treasury 
PPP Team should be consulted in relation to setting an 
asset beta for WACC calculations.  
TAMRP 
Tax adjusted market risk premium 
To be consistent with the prevailing tax adjusted market 
risk premium used by the Commerce Commission. 
Updates 
8.15  The discount rate for a given PPP project may need to be updated prior to Financial Close.  
This is to take account of any material changes in underlying base interest rates as advised 
by the Treasury PPP Team. 
 
 
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Appendix A:  Risk Allocation Example 
The following table provides example risk allocations between the procuring entity (Crown risk) and 
the contractor. 
Risk 
Crown Risk 
Contractor Risk 
General Risks 
 
 
Specific change in law 
Yes 
No 
General change in law 
Shared 
Shared 
Force majeure events 
Shared 
Shared 
Uninsurable risks 
Shared 
Shared 
Insurance costs: construction  
No 
Yes 
                           operation 
Shared 
Shared 
Financial Risks 
 
 
Base interest rate movements  
Yes 
No 
Credit margin and fee increases 
No 
Yes 
Exchange rate movements 
No 
Yes 
Site Risks 
 
 
Unforeseeable contamination 
Shared 
Shared 
Ground conditions 
No 
Yes 
Archaeological artefacts 
Yes 
No 
Obtaining a planning designation (under the Resource 
Yes 
No 
Management Act 1991) 
Compliance with designation and obtaining all other 
No 
Yes 
regulatory approvals 
Treaty of Waitangi risks (risk that the land becomes the 
Yes 
No 
subject of a claim under the Treaty) 
Design Risks 
 
 
Inappropriate specification of requirements 
Yes 
No 
Design Delayed 
No 
Yes 
Fitness for purpose  
No 
Yes 
Construction  Risks 
 
 
Inaccurate cost estimates 
No 
Yes 
Interruption and delay 
No 
Yes 
Prime contractor financial distress 
No 
Yes 
Industrial action  
No 
Yes 
Commissioning (Operational Readiness) 
No 
Yes 
Operational Risks 
 
 
Cost escalation above CPI/LCI 
No 
Yes 
Costs or capability inadequate to achieve contracted 
No 
Yes 
performance levels 
 
 
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Risk 
Crown Risk 
Contractor Risk 
Change in specific operating standards, legislation, 
Yes 
No 
regulations or specification 
Failure of electricity, water or other utility service:  
 
 
                             Upstream 
Yes 
No 
                             Downstream 
No 
Yes 
Utilities costs and volumes 
Yes 
No 
Lifecycle Risks 
 
 
Availability of asset 
No 
Yes 
Asset management / facilities maintenance provider financial 
No 
Yes 
distress 
Significant and deliberate user damage to facility 
Yes 
No 
 
 
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Public Private Partnership Programme 
 
 
The New Zealand PPP Model and 
Policy: Setting the Scene 
 
A Guide for Public Sector Entities 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
September 2015 
 


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© Crown Copyright 
 
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence. 
  In essence, you are free to copy, distribute and adapt the work, as long as you attribute 
the work to the Crown and abide by the other licence terms. 
To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. Please note that no 
departmental or governmental emblem, logo or Coat of Arms may be used in any way which infringes 
any provision of the Flags, Emblems, and Names Protection Act 1981. Attribution to the Crown should be 
in written form and not by reproduction of any such emblem, logo or Coat of Arms. 
ISBN:  978-0-478-43687-7 (Online) 
The Treasury URL at September 2015 for this document is 
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/statesector/ppp/guidance/model-and-policy 
The PURL for this document is http://purl.oclc.org/nzt/g-pppp-mp

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Contents 
1  About this Guidance ......................................................................................... 1 
2  Overview ............................................................................................................ 2 
3  What is PPP Procurement? .............................................................................. 3 
The New Zealand PPP model ............................................................................. 3 
4  Why has PPP Procurement been introduced in New Zealand? .................... 8 
Adoption in New Zealand .................................................................................... 8 
Key advantages of PPP procurement ................................................................. 8 
5  When and how to consider PPP .................................................................... 13 
Cabinet mandated consideration of PPP procurement ..................................... 13 
Integration with the Better Business Case Framework ..................................... 13 
Project characteristics and suitability of PPP procurement ............................... 17 
6  The Role of the Treasury PPP Team .............................................................. 21 
Engaging with the Treasury PPP team ............................................................. 22 
7  The PPP procurement process ...................................................................... 23 
An overview of the PPP procurement process .................................................. 23 
Who is involved in PPP Procurement?.............................................................. 25 
Unsolicited proposals ........................................................................................ 27 
 
The New Zealand PPP Model and Policy: Setting the Scene  |  i 

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1  About this Guidance 
How to use this guidance 
1.1  This guidance has been written by the Treasury PPP Team.  It must be read in conjunction 
with other Public Private Partnership (PPP) guidance and applied in consultation with the 
Treasury PPP Team.  It assumes that the Treasury’s Standard Form PPP Project 
Agreement wil  form the basis of the contract to be signed with the private sector partner.1 
1.2  This document should be read by public sector entities (referred to as procuring entities 
throughout this guidance document) that are considering or implementing PPP as a 
procurement option for a major infrastructure project; specifically, those staff involved in the 
development and internal approval of the project business case and procurement process. 
1.3  A glossary of terms used throughout this document is available on the Treasury website.2 
The New Zealand PPP model 
1.4  In the New Zealand context, a PPP is a long-term contract for the delivery of a service, 
where provision of the service requires the construction of a new asset, or enhancement of 
an existing asset, that is financed from external (private) sources on a non-recourse basis, 
and full legal ownership of the asset is retained by the Crown. 
1.5  PPP procurement has been implemented in New Zealand for the primary purpose of 
improving the focus on, and delivery of, required service outcomes from major 
infrastructure assets.  Whole of life services are purchased under a single long-term 
contract with payments to the contractor based on availability and performance of the 
asset.  The combination of assets and services required to be delivered by the private 
sector are referred to in this document as the ‘project’. 
1.6  The PPP model seeks to improve outcomes by capturing best practice and innovation from 
the private sector.  Lessons learnt from PPP projects can be implemented across a 
broader portfolio of public assets to significantly leverage the benefits of single PPP 
transactions.  The competitive procurement process, focus on outcomes (with minimal 
input specifications and constraints), appropriate risk allocation and performance based 
payment mechanisms that put private sector capital at risk optimise the incentives and 
flexibility for private sector participants to deliver innovative and effective solutions. 
1.7  PPP procurement is only used where it offers value for money over the life of the project, 
relative to conventional procurement methods.  This means achieving better outcomes 
from a project than if it were procured using conventional methods, for the same, or lower, 
net present cost. 
Questions and further information 
1.8  General enquiries about the information contained in this guidance can be sent to 
[email address]. Other guidance documents and useful information can be found 
at www.treasury.govt.nz/ppp. 
                                                 
1  
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/standard-form-ppp-project-agreement 
2  
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/guidance/glossary 
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2  Overview 
Introduction 
2.1  This document provides an overview of the New Zealand Public Private Partnership 
(PPP) model and policy and is intended to set the scene for procuring entities, potential 
bidders and the public, by outlining: 
•  what PPP procurement is and, in particular, the key policy and contractual features 
that shape the New Zealand PPP model 
•  the rationale for choosing PPP procurement to deliver major infrastructure assets 
and their related service outcomes 
•  when a procuring entity should select PPP procurement over other conventional 
methods of asset delivery, and the process for this assessment (including 
integration with the Better Business Cases framework) 
•  the role of the Treasury PPP Team in assisting the procuring entity with PPP 
procurement, and 
•  a brief overview of the procurement process. 
2.2  This document incorporates developments in New Zealand PPP policy and valuable 
lessons learnt from the practical implementation of PPP procurement in New Zealand 
to date. 
2.3  This document is intended to provide an overview of the New Zealand PPP programme 
only.  It is not intended to provide detailed advice and procuring entities should consult 
with the Treasury PPP Team for assistance in relation to a specific project. 
Background 
2.4  Increasing productivity in the public sector, including through the implementation of 
improved procurement and management of major assets, is important for New Zealand’s 
long-run fiscal and economic performance.  Government agencies should consider using 
private sector expertise in asset procurement and management where it delivers better 
value for taxpayers, either through enhanced services or lower overall costs. 
2.5  The Government has stated that it wil  consider PPP procurement where it offers 
superior value for money over conventional procurement approaches.  The evaluation of 
PPP procurement for al  significant infrastructure investments has subsequently been 
mandated through a Cabinet Office Circular and the Government’s Rules of Sourcing. 3 4 
2.6  The New Zealand PPP Programme was established in 2009 with the creation of a PPP 
Centre of Expertise within the Treasury.  Since this time the Treasury PPP Team has 
published PPP guidance and developed a standardised set of ‘model terms’ for PPP 
procurement (the Standard Form PPP Project Agreement).5  Each clause has been 
developed on the basis of its international validity and its relevance to the New Zealand 
market. 
                                                 
3  
http://www.dpmc.govt.nz/cabinet/circulars/co15/5 
4  
http://www.business.govt.nz/procurement/for-agencies/key-guidance-for-agencies/the-new-government-
rules-of-sourcing 

5  
Refer note 1 above 
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3  What is PPP Procurement? 
3.1  Internationally, the history of PPP procurement spans more than two decades with 
early Private Finance Initiative projects in the United Kingdom generally considered to 
be the genesis of the PPP model. 
3.2  While PPP procurement has been adopted in a number of jurisdictions (in both 
developed and developing economies) no clear and consistent definition has emerged 
as to what constitutes a PPP.  This is largely due to the varying policy drivers which 
influence the design and implementation of PPP procurement between jurisdictions. 
3.3  A number of international government bodies and non-government organisations have 
sought to provide greater clarity through published definitions of PPP procurement.  
These share a number of common characteristics which have informed the 
development of the New Zealand PPP model and definition, such as: 
•  involvement by both Public and Private sector parties 
•  a long-term contract 
•  construction of new infrastructure assets that enable delivery of services to the 
public 
•  provision of at least some of those services by the private sector 
•  risk transfer, and 
•  private finance. 
The New Zealand PPP model 
Key characteristics 
3.4  The key policy characteristics of the New Zealand PPP model include: 
•  the specification of outcomes required to be delivered to the public (the service 
outcomes) 
•  the construction of a new infrastructure asset, or substantial enhancement of an 
existing asset, (the asset) to facilitate the delivery of the service outcomes 
•  the delivery of service outcomes by a private sector partner for a defined period 
(often between 20-30 years) 
•  the efficient allocation of risk to the party best able to manage that risk 
•  the separation of ownership (retained by the public sector) and financing (provided 
by the private sector partner) to provide meaningful risk transfer and management, 
and 
•  the application of a payment for performance regime to incentivise the delivery of 
specified service outcomes and penalise non-performance. 
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3.5  PPP procurement places a greater focus on whole of life performance to optimise 
decisions and activities that may otherwise occur in isolation, or with other short-term 
drivers.  For example, the trade-off between the choice of construction materials and 
ongoing maintenance requirements is optimised for the duration of the PPP (including 
any required hand back period), rather than being unduly influenced by the up-front 
capital cost. 
3.6  The integration of service and asset design is equally important to ensure that the 
asset is fit for purpose and enables efficient and effective delivery of operational 
services. 
3.7  The application of private finance is an important component of PPP procurement as 
placing significant capital ‘at risk’ ensures that the performance incentives and risk 
transfer within the model are meaningful. 
3.8  The New Zealand PPP model adopts a ‘more for the same’ approach to value for 
money.  This recognises that a project procured under more conventional forms of 
procurement wil  incur a certain level of expenditure and seeks to maximise the 
quantum and quality of outcomes that can be achieved for that cost.  This can be 
contrasted with a ‘same for less’ approach adopted in some other jurisdictions.  This 
reinforces that PPP procurement is intended to improve the delivery of asset and 
service outcomes and act as a catalyst for change in the public sector. 
Definition 
3.9  The definition adopted by the New Zealand PPP Programme and the Standard Form 
PPP Project Agreement is: 
A long term contract for the delivery of a service, where the provision of the service 
requires the construction of a new asset, or the enhancement of an existing asset, that 
is financed from external (private) sources on a non-recourse basis, and where full 
legal ownership of the asset is retained by the Crown. 
Standard Form PPP Project Agreement 
3.10  Following the commencement of the New Zealand Government’s PPP programme in 
2009 the Treasury established the Standard Form PPP Project Agreement which is the 
basis for the project agreement for all PPP projects in New Zealand.6 
3.11  The standardisation of commercial and contractual terms and their application provides 
clarity, consistency and certainty of the PPP model for both procuring entities and the 
wider PPP market.  This creates confidence in the model and results in more efficient 
procurement processes. 
                                                 
6  
Refer note 1 above 
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3.12  Key aspects covered by the Standard Form PPP Project Agreement include: 
•  A fixed price for the design, construction and ongoing maintenance (and operation) 
of the asset 
•  Legal ownership of the asset is retained by the procuring entity at all times 
•  A performance regime which ensures that payment is only made once the asset is 
complete and service delivery commences, and only in relation to those service 
outcomes actually delivered 
•  Contractual certainty on risk allocation 
•  A clear process for agreeing any changes to the required service outcomes, and 
•  Provision for control of the asset to be handed back to the procuring agency in a 
pre-defined condition at no cost at the conclusion of the operating period. 
3.13  The Standard Form PPP Project Agreement must be used by all procuring entities 
undertaking PPP procurement and is only to be adapted in consultation with the 
Treasury PPP Team to the extent required to accommodate any unique characteristics 
of a specific project. 
New Zealand PPP  procurement models 
3.14  The New Zealand PPP programme utilises two models (distinguished by the scope of 
services required) to allocate the roles and responsibilities for a PPP project based on 
its specific characteristics and requirements. 
3.15  The Design, Build, Finance, Maintain and Operate (DBFMO) model transfers the 
responsibility for delivery of the design, build, financing, maintenance and operation 
(service provision) of an asset to the private sector partner. 
3.16  In comparison, the Design, Build, Finance and Maintain (DBFM) model transfers similar 
responsibility except in relation to the operational services, for which the procuring 
entity retains responsibility for delivery. 
3.17  The DBFMO model has the potential to deliver greater benefits to the public sector 
because it provides greater opportunity for innovation and risk transfer. 
Design, Build, Finance, Maintain and Operate 
3.18  The DBFMO model offers maximum scope for innovation in asset and service design 
as it incorporates service provision.  The key benefit lies in the ability for the private 
operator’s service methodology to inform and influence the design of the asset to 
ensure the asset and service mix is optimised. 
3.19  The DBFMO model allows the procuring entity to focus primarily on the service 
outcomes sought and incentivise these through the performance regime (upon which 
payment is based).  This aligns closely with the government’s focus on achieving better 
public services rather than solely focusing on the procurement of ‘bricks and mortar’ 
assets. 
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3.20  This model has been adopted for the delivery of a new prison facility and custodial 
services where the Department of Corrections specified the service outcomes to be 
delivered by the private sector.  The service outcomes include custodial services that 
provide a safe, secure and humane environment and rehabilitation services that reduce 
rates of reoffending.  To drive innovation, the Department minimised constraints where 
possible to allow the private sector flexibility in the design and operation of the prison to 
achieve the desired service outcomes. 
Design, Build, Finance and Maintain 
3.21  The DBFM model incentivises the consideration of the whole of life cost of asset and 
service provision through the inclusion of facilities maintenance, asset management, 
fitout and lifecycle refurbishment within the procurement.  This ‘bundling’ creates a 
focus on optimising the cost of the facility and its operations over its entire life. 
3.22  In comparison with the DBFMO model, as responsibility for the provision of operational 
services is retained by the procuring entity, the DBFM model requires a greater level of 
integration between the procuring entity and the private sector partner through the 
procurement phase to ensure that opportunities for innovation in asset and service 
design are realised. 
3.23  The procuring entity is also likely to be exposed to a greater level of interface risk 
where it retains responsibility for the provision of operational services, particularly 
where the asset is complex and directly impacts the operating model such as a prison 
or hospital.  This method is therefore best suited to projects where there is a strong 
policy or operational rationale for not including service provision within the PPP 
contract. 
3.24  This model has been successful y used to deliver new school property where the 
Ministry of Education retains responsibility for the provision of teaching services within 
the facilities that have been designed and constructed by a private sector partner.  The 
Ministry benefits through the up-front agreement of long-term performance standards 
for the assets at a fixed price, while school management teams are not burdened by 
property maintenance responsibilities.  This enables them to focus on educational 
outcomes. 
PPP performance regime and payment mechanism 
3.25  PPP procurement is predicated on the concept of payment for performance.  Together, the 
performance regime and payment mechanism incentivise enhanced asset performance 
and service provision (to the extent included within the PPP contract) throughout the 
operating period. 
3.26  The required level of asset performance and service delivery is prescribed in terms of 
service outcomes by the procuring entity at the outset of the procurement phase.  The 
contractualisation of these performance standards then ensures that the specified 
outcomes remain central throughout the life of the project. 
3.27  The level of analysis required to identify these outcomes and an indicative performance 
regime is typically more substantial than for conventional forms of procurement.  This 
analysis is also completed earlier in the procurement process (with project outcomes 
and indicative performance standards often identified during the development of the 
Detailed Business Case (DBC)). 
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3.28  The performance regime is both availability and service driven, with payments made by 
the procuring entity on a periodic (typically quarterly) basis commencing only once the 
asset is operational and calculated based on the actual performance of the asset and 
required service outcomes. 
3.29  In the event that the asset (and/or service) does not perform as agreed, payments 
made by the procuring entity will be reduced through abatement to the extent that they 
may not cover the private sector partner’s operating cost or, ultimately, the full capital 
cost of the asset.  The application of private finance provides a direct link between 
asset and service performance and payment for the asset, ensuring that investors have 
a strong incentive to manage the performance of their service providers. 
How does PPP procurement differ from conventional procurement? 
3.30  The key features that distinguish PPP procurement from more conventional public 
sector procurement include: 
•  Specification of the service outcomes required from an asset rather than prescriptive 
input specifications that relate to the asset itself 
•  Bundling of ‘whole of life’ services, that are otherwise procured independently at 
different stages of an asset’s lifecycle, under a single long-term contract 
•  The transfer of risk to the private sector partner where they are best placed to 
manage that risk, and 
•  A periodic (typically quarterly) payment profile which commences only once the 
asset is operational and is calculated based on the actual performance of the asset 
and required service outcomes. 
Forms of procurement excluded from the New Zealand definition of PPP 
3.31  A range of alternative, or non-traditional, procurement models have emerged which 
may be appropriate for procuring entities to consider when determining the appropriate 
procurement model for a specific project.  While these models may be valid 
alternatives to consider alongside PPP procurement, they do not address, to the same 
extent, the underlying policy concerns that led to the development of the New Zealand 
PPP model and are therefore excluded from the New Zealand definition of a PPP (as 
set out at paragraph 3.9). 
3.32  Examples of models and processes that do not constitute a PPP include: 
•  joint venture arrangements 
•  long-term leases 
•  alliance models 
•  early contractor involvement, and 
•  outsourced service contracts. 
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4  Why has PPP Procurement been 
introduced in New Zealand? 
Adoption in New Zealand 
4.1  It is important for participants in the New Zealand PPP programme to understand the 
rationale for the adoption of PPP procurement in New Zealand and, in particular, how 
this may differ from other jurisdictions. 
4.2  PPP procurement has been implemented in New Zealand for the primary purpose of 
improving the focus on, and delivery of, service outcomes from major infrastructure 
assets.  This focus is two-fold: 
•  improving capital asset management and procurement through the implementation 
of whole of life asset costing and management, and 
•  facilitating the provision of better public services through recognition that 
infrastructure assets exist primarily to enable the effective and efficient provision of 
public services. 
4.3  PPP procurement has not been adopted in New Zealand to address problems in the 
procurement process (such as failure to deliver to time or budget, which could be 
satisfactorily achieved through appropriate provisions within conventional procurement 
contracts) or a lack of public funding for major infrastructure projects. 
4.4  The PPP model utilises a performance-based contract that incentivises high quality 
performance by placing private sector capital at risk for non-performance.  Through its 
focus on service outcomes the PPP model provides flexibility for private sector 
participants to apply their expertise and experience to deliver innovative and effective 
solutions for the benefit of the procuring entity. 
Key advantages of PPP procurement 
4.5  The key advantages that distinguish PPP procurement from conventional procurement 
methods in New Zealand include: 
•  an increased focus on the specification and the performance of service outcomes 
•  an integrated service and asset design solution 
•  a ‘whole of life’ perspective that provides greater cost certainty and optimisation 
•  payment for good performance and abatement for poor performance 
•  active management and optimal allocation of risk 
•  wider benefits to New Zealand’s infrastructure sector as a result of private sector 
expertise and experience, and 
•  enhanced procurement discipline. 
4.6  These are discussed in detail below. 
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An increased focus on service outcomes 
4.7  Conventional forms of procurement focus on asset input specifications, which 
traditionally dictate how the asset is constructed.  This approach results in heavily 
prescribed tender documents focused on the infrastructure asset itself as an end result, 
rather than as an enabler of the desired service outcomes. 
4.8  In contrast, PPP procurement requires the procuring entity’s identification of specific 
performance outcomes relating to the desired service outcomes for the project, with 
detail of the design and construction of the asset used to deliver those services 
determined by the private sector partner.  As payment to the private sector partner is 
linked to the performance of the services throughout the contract, PPP procurement 
incentivises the delivery of the highest quality service provision within the project 
budget. 
4.9  Importantly, specification of the scope of the project on the basis of the quality of 
service provision allows the private sector partner to introduce and implement 
international best practice and innovation.  It also enables the exploration of alternative 
asset and service models that may provide the same or higher quality service 
outcomes. 
4.10  By attracting international service, construction, and equity providers to the New 
Zealand market PPP procurement offers procuring entities access to a wide variety of 
sources of best practice and innovation which may not otherwise be readily accessible.  
These parties compete on the basis of their experience and ability to deliver those 
outcomes sought by the procuring entity, resulting in focused and well developed 
proposals. 
Integrated service and asset design solution 
4.11  Projects using conventional procurement models are often limited to a ‘design and 
construct’ brief without expressing the functionality or operational delivery outcomes 
required from the asset.  This often results in the asset being influenced by the cost 
and ease of construction rather than the outcomes required from the particular 
infrastructure. 
4.12  A significant benefit of PPP procurement is the integrated consideration of the design 
and services with the asset’s operational functionality.  Ongoing operational, 
maintenance and refurbishment requirements become the private sector provider’s 
responsibility for the length of the contract period. 
4.13  This not only achieves a higher level of long-term service delivery but is also likely to 
improve the quality of the design and usability of the asset.  This benefit is driven 
through the structure of the PPP payment mechanism whereby the private sector 
provider wil  only receive full payment if the asset is available and fit for purpose for the 
duration of the operating period. 
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A whole of life perspective 
4.14  The PPP model focuses on whole of life performance of an asset through full 
integration of up-front design and construction costs with ongoing service delivery, 
operational, maintenance and refurbishment costs.  This is intended to deliver 
improved efficiency, greater cost optimisation and improved cost certainty over the life 
of the asset. 
4.15  Conventional methods fail to incentivise the consideration of the long-term operating 
and lifecycle costs of new capital assets at the time approval for new capital investment 
is sought.  By establishing an investment period that incorporates a substantial 
operating period (usually 20-30 years post service commencement), PPP procurement 
ensures the whole of life cost of infrastructure is well understood and sufficient capital 
and operating appropriations are sought at the outset. 
4.16  The requirement for a higher degree of pre-procurement analysis under PPP 
procurement results in better quality information for the procuring entity and more 
robust, and defensible, decision making.  This is a win-win; the procuring entity enjoys 
a greater level of certainty that the whole of life cost of the project is affordable while 
the government gains assurance that the future cost of today’s investment is well 
understood. 
4.17  Further benefit is gained through the transfer of whole of life risk; that is, the risk that 
the asset performs as intended for the duration of the operating period (which includes 
the risk, and cost, associated with facilities maintenance, lifecycle, fit out and specified 
equipment).  This ensures the private sector partner is highly incentivised to explore 
innovative opportunities to ensure reliable service while managing the long-term cost of 
both the asset and service delivery, rather than solely focusing on minimising the up-
front capital appropriation. 
4.18  To date, this has led to design concepts, operating models and approaches to capital 
investment that had not previously been considered by the respective procuring entity.  
This increased understanding and optimisation of the whole of life cost of the project is 
beneficial to the procuring entity’s wider asset portfolio as wel  as the immediate 
project. 
Payment for performance 
4.19  Globally, fiscal constraints have increased governments’ focus on the efficient and 
prioritised appropriation of taxpayer funds.  This has resulted in greater emphasis on 
agencies to account for the ways in which they apply public funds. 
4.20  PPP procurement creates a direct relationship between the performance of an 
investment and the reimbursement of the associated capital cost associated with the 
asset over an extended period.  Having private sector capital at risk for non-
performance provides a strong incentive for the private sector partner to ensure the 
asset is always available and fit for purpose. 
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4.21  The performance regime ensures that the procuring entity only pays for the asset and 
service provision where those outcomes are achieved.  If the asset does not perform as 
required and the service outcomes specified by the procuring entity are not met to the 
required standard, payment is abated in proportion to the level of underperformance.  
This incentivises the private sector partner to lift its performance to ensure future 
payments are received. 
4.22  Abatements for non-performance (or penalties) should be appropriately sized to ensure 
that the contractor is incentivised to avoid or remedy performance failures. 
Optimal allocation and active management of risk 
4.23  While conventional forms of procurement may address procurement specific risk (such 
as ‘on time’ or ‘within budget’ delivery) they can fail to address a number of project 
related risks (such as lifecycle or operating cost implications).  If these risks are not 
well managed, then an otherwise apparently successful procurement can be greatly 
undermined during the operating phase of the project. 
4.24  A unique aspect of PPP procurement is the more rigorous up-front identification of risk 
inherent throughout the life of the project and the cost of that risk to the procuring 
entity.  Once these risks have been identified and valued, the procuring entity is able to 
test which risks a private sector partner may be prepared to bear and whether they can 
manage these risks more efficiently than the public sector. 
4.25  The critical principle applied to New Zealand PPP procurement is that individually 
identified risks should be allocated to the party best able to manage and mitigate that 
risk (in the sense of either reducing the likelihood of it occurring or reducing the cost of 
rectification or reinstatement).  It is only where the private sector partner is better 
placed to manage a particular risk that it should be transferred.  This principle 
recognises that value is not achieved through indiscriminate transfer of project risks 
that the private sector cannot manage better than the public sector. 
4.26  The structure of the private sector partner ensures that procurement decisions and risk 
transfer are thoroughly tested.  This is achieved as each member of the respondent 
consortium wil  consider directly the risk that they are taking under the PPP project 
agreement.  Specifically, the financiers’ interests are well aligned with those of the 
procuring entity which ensures decisions are rigorously analysed, thereby improving 
the overall robustness of the final project. 
4.27  Even where it may not be value for money to transfer a risk to the private sector 
partner, the risk identification and quantification process has tangible benefits for the 
procuring entity through a greater understanding of those risks it wil  retain and how 
these should be managed. 
Wider benefits to New Zealand’s infrastructure sector 
4.28  Utilising the expertise and experience of the private sector through PPP procurement 
offers several benefits beyond those realised in a specific project, as fol ows: 
•  PPP procurement challenges the way in which the public sector considers service 
delivery and provides opportunity to learn first-hand from others who have 
demonstrated experience and competency in providing similar services 
internationally. 
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•  The PPP model allows the procuring entity to adopt innovation, whether in asset 
design or service performance improvements, brought by the private sector partner.  
This provides real scope for a single PPP project to lift the performance of an entire 
portfolio, as innovation and efficiencies can be replicated across the entity’s wider 
procurement and asset management programmes. 
•  PPP procurement drives continuous improvement through the implementation of 
performance regimes that allow a procuring entity to expect more from its private 
sector partner as it improves its own performance across the rest of its portfolio. 
•  PPP procurement can provide contestability in certain sectors for infrastructure and 
services that have previously been solely provided by a public sector entity, without 
losing public sector control over the standard to which those services are provided. 
4.29  PPP procurement may also be considered in situations where the savings in relation to 
a single project may not be significant.  Instead, there may be greater value to the 
procuring entity through utilising the PPP project to effect institutional change. 
Enhanced procurement  discipline 
4.30  The Government is focused on ensuring taxpayers’ funds are applied prudently 
including through the delivery of high quality procurement and management of capital 
assets. 
4.31  The PPP procurement methodology encourages a disciplined approach to procurement 
through detailed consideration of project requirements, desired outcomes and the rigor 
of analysis in compiling a Public Sector Comparator (PSC), which establishes a 
comparative cost if the project were to be procured using a more conventional form of 
procurement.  As such, PPP procurement is less prone to cost escalation. 
4.32  The additional clarity gained through this process is beneficial to all procurement 
decisions, even where PPP procurement may ultimately not be implemented.  In 
particular, greater cost certainty provides better quality information to support more 
robust decision making. 
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5  When and how to consider PPP 
5.1  It is important to note that: 
•  As with all forms of procurement, PPP procurement does not alter the investment 
case or objectives of a project and should therefore only be considered once a clear 
service (and corresponding asset) need has been identified and agreed. 
•  PPP procurement should only be used where it offers value for money over the life 
of the project relative to conventional procurement methods.  This means obtaining 
improved outcomes from a project for the same, or lower, net present cost as if it 
were procured using conventional methods. 
Cabinet mandated consideration of PPP procurement 
5.2  Procuring entities that are planning any ‘significant investment’ (including any 
arrangements with Local Government Authorities seeking Crown funding or support) 
must evaluate all procurement options, including PPP procurement.7 
5.3  The Government Rules of Sourcing require agencies that are considering PPP 
procurement to: 
•  consult with the Treasury PPP Team early in the development of the project’s 
business case 
•  follow relevant Treasury guidance and instructions 
•  involve the Treasury PPP Team in the economic and financial assessment and 
advice to Ministers 
•  invite the Treasury PPP Team to participate in relevant project steering and working 
groups, and in the selection panels for al  key PPP advisor appointments, and 
•  use the Treasury’s Standard Form PPP Project Agreement as the basis for any 
contract and consult with the Treasury PPP Team over any proposed 
modifications.8 
Integration with the Better Business Case Framework 
5.4  Procuring entities should engage with the Treasury PPP Team to consider the potential 
suitability of PPP procurement for proposed projects at an early stage.  For procuring 
entities applying the Better Business Case framework, formal consideration of PPP 
procurement is required through the development of an IBC and has implications for 
the process of developing both the IBC and DBC. 
                                                 

In terms of financial or risk thresholds, ‘significant’ generally means investments that require Cabinet or 
Ministerial approval as per Cabinet Office Circular (15) 5, that is, high risk proposals, or proposals with 
whole of life costs in excess of $15 mil ion, however funded.  For further information, refer 
http://www.dpmc.govt.nz/cabinet/circulars/co15/5 
8  
Refer note 1 above 
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Indicative Business Case 
5.5  The first and most critical step in the lifecycle of any procurement project is the 
definition of the service need.  The clearer the definition and understanding within the 
procuring entity, the lower the risk that problems wil  arise later in the procurement 
process. 
5.6  The service need must be defined by the procuring entity in consultation with users and 
stakeholders and be expressed in terms of needs, functions and operational 
performance requirements.  The service need should reflect the desired outcomes (and 
outputs where appropriate) and wherever possible avoid prescribing design features or 
input requirements.  This is to maximise the opportunity for innovation in meeting the 
service need. 
5.7  The consideration of procurement options is carried out at Action 7 of the IBC where 
evaluation of a wide range of realistic options for meeting the identified service needs 
is required.  The suggested approach is to consider possible options against five 
dimensions: scale, service solution, service delivery, implementation and funding.  The 
resulting options for implementing the preferred solution may range from the procuring 
agency self-performing the delivery of all required assets and services to the provision 
of all services by a private sector provider through assets developed and owned by that 
provider. 
5.8  An initial qualitative assessment of PPP procurement is required.  This should consider 
the characteristics of the project and assess whether PPP procurement is likely to be 
suitable and offer greater value for money.  Further detail of those characteristics which 
should be considered at a minimum are set out below. 
5.9  If PPP procurement is to be included as a short list option, additional consideration is 
required as part of the IBC before PPP procurement is presented to Cabinet.  This 
additional consideration includes consultation with joint Ministers (being the Minister of 
Finance and Minister responsible for the procuring entity) and engagement with 
potential interested parties through market sounding. 
5.10  Two additional components (Actions 8a and 8b) are required to be added to Action 8 to 
provide for this additional analysis. 
Action 8a: Market Sounding 
5.11  Engaging with a representative sample of potential private sector partners (the market) 
early in the planning process for a project can provide real value to a procuring entity 
as it can help inform the opportunity for all parties – both in terms of readying the 
market for the project as well as helping the procuring entity resolve the optimal scope 
and scale of the project. 
5.12  While care must be taken to ensure that appropriate probity processes are observed, 
market sounding provides the procuring entity an opportunity to gain a better 
understanding of the appetite of the market for the project as well as any preferences 
or challenges the market may have with certain scope and scale permutations. 
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5.13  The procuring entity must ensure that it is well prepared for the market sounding 
process and that it presents a coherent and considered opportunity to the market.  If 
the procuring entity is not well prepared and has not considered a range of options or 
attempts to use the market sounding process to ‘crowdsource’ innovation or intellectual 
property then it is likely to damage the market’s appetite for the project. 
Action 8b: Endorsement by joint Ministers 
5.14  If, on the basis of the initial qualitative assessment and market sounding, PPP 
procurement is considered a short list option then joint Ministers should be consulted 
prior to submission of the IBC to Cabinet.  This provides Ministers with full visibility of 
the analysis and assumptions which underpin the project and allow them to consider 
whether there are any programme or external factors which may also impact the likely 
success of PPP procurement.  For example, if the timing of another project, for which a 
different agency is considering PPP procurement, may clash then Ministers may 
consider intervening. 
5.15  If joint Ministers agree that PPP procurement is an appropriate option, then further 
analysis wil  be required as part of the preparation of the DBC.  The IBC should short 
list two procurement options for further evaluation in the DBC which include PPP 
procurement and the preferred form of conventional procurement.  This is important as 
the preferred form of conventional procurement wil  form the basis for the calculation of 
the PSC and wil  ensure a second option is available if further analysis as part of the 
DBC results in PPP procurement being discarded. 
Detailed Business Case 
5.16  Where PPP procurement is endorsed by Cabinet, the DBC wil  build on the analysis 
completed as part of the IBC and Cabinet directive.  Further qualitative analysis will be 
required as well as quantitative analysis in the form of compiling a PSC.  Ideally, the 
scope of service provision to be included within the PPP wil  be confirmed at this time 
together with finalisation of the project’s key outcomes and an indicative performance 
regime and risk allocation. 
5.17  A number of actions required to complete a DBC require additional analysis where PPP 
procurement is a short list option.  These include: 
•  Action 12: Risk and Uncertainty – a detailed understanding of project risks is 
required to ensure that the PSC is accurate and risk allocation is appropriate 
•  Action 14: The Procurement Strategy – consideration of the procurement process 
specific to PPP transactions is required together with a market sounding of the 
proposed solution 
•  Action 15: Specify Requirements – further consideration of the project scope and 
bundling options (particularly in relation to service provision) is required 
•  Action 16: Risk Al ocation – a detailed risk allocation schedule wil  be required to be 
completed to ensure that those risks which wil  be transferred to the private sector 
partner are well understood and valued for the PSC 
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•  Action 17: Payment Mechanism – the performance regime is central to the 
development of a PPP specific payment mechanism and this is discussed further 
below 
•  Action 18: Contractual and Other Issues – consideration is required in relation to the 
PPP project agreement and any project specific matters which may require 
amendment to the Standard Form PPP Project Agreement, and 
•  Action 19: The Financial Costing Model – the development of a PSC wil  be required 
to confirm that PPP procurement offers value for money over more conventional 
procurement approaches.  This action is discussed further below. 
5.18  While all of the above actions require a degree of additional analysis for PPP 
procurement, three (Actions 14, 17 and 19) specifically require additional components 
to consider PPP procurement. 
Action 14a: A second market sounding 
5.19  A second market sounding is required during the preparation of the DBC (often late in 
the process) and serves two key purposes: 
•  It provides the procuring entity a final opportunity to test its proposed solution with 
the market.  This is important as private sector parties wil  not respond positively to a 
project which it considers is underdeveloped or likely to change, and 
•  It allows private sector parties to understand the objectives and outcomes sought by 
the procuring entity and form credible consortiums and teams to respond to a 
possible procurement process.  It is important that procuring entities al ow the 
market sufficient time prior to the release of an EOI to ensure complete and 
competitive responses. 
Action 17a: Development of a performance regime 
5.20  Additional analysis is required to consider the specific performance standards and 
penalties which may be applied in the PPP project agreement.  This requires the 
procuring entity to determine how the asset and service wil  be funded (on either an 
availability or user charge model) as well as how payment wil  be linked to the specific 
performance of the service outcomes required. 
5.21  The procuring entity wil  need to consider how the performance regime can incentivise 
the delivery of those outcomes through performance payments and abatements as well 
as penalties for incidents which are simply unacceptable to the procuring entity. 
5.22  The procuring entity should consult with the Treasury PPP Team regarding the 
proposed performance regime. 
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Action 19a: Development of a public sector comparator 
5.23  Additional quantitative, or value for money, analysis is required for PPP procurement.  
This analysis compares the cost of procuring a project as a PPP with a PSC that 
represents the cost if the procuring entity were to deliver the asset and services itself 
using conventional procurement.  This assessment requires detailed consideration of 
costs associated with: 
•  the design and construction of the asset 
•  the maintenance and management of the asset throughout a prescribed period of 
operations 
•  the delivery of services from the asset (where these are to be included under a 
DBFMO model), and 
•  those risks relating to the asset and service delivery that are proposed to be 
transferred to the private sector under PPP procurement. 
5.24  The PSC must then be compared with a Proxy Bid Model (PBM), which in addition to 
those costs included within the PSC also seeks to replicate those additional costs 
associated with PPP procurement (such as additional procurement costs and private 
sector costs of financing the project).  The DBC must satisfy decision makers that there 
is sufficient scope for the private sector to introduce innovation and whole of life cost 
savings (through asset design, maintenance and risk transfer) to offset any difference 
between the PSC and PBM. 
5.25  This analysis is important as PPP procurement wil  only be approved for a project 
where it offers value for money over the life of the project; that is, a PPP must deliver 
the outcomes sought from the project for the same or lower cost than the procuring 
entity could have itself (as established by the PSC).  This is safeguarded through the 
requirement for Cabinet approval of the value for money case before a PPP project 
agreement may be signed for any PPP project. 
5.26  Further guidance on the development of a PSC and quantitative value for money 
analysis has been published by the Treasury PPP Team (Public Sector Comparator 
and Quantitative Assessment).9 
Project characteristics and suitability of PPP 
procurement 
5.27  PPP procurement is most likely to be appropriate for projects of large scale and long 
duration where: 
•  the nature of the asset required is specific and can only be applied to the purpose 
intended (such as a prison or hospital) 
•  the service is durable and it is unlikely that the service requirements wil  vary 
unpredictably over the life of the contract 
•  outcomes or outputs can be well-specified, enabling clear specification and 
monitoring of performance requirements and standards 
                                                 
9  
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/guidance/public-sector-comparator  
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•  the project is sufficiently complex that innovative design and service approaches 
may be employed, and 
•  there is sufficient market appetite and depth to ensure a competitive procurement 
process. 
Nature of the required asset 
5.28  The nature and characteristics of the asset required to deliver the service outcomes of 
the project are an important driver in considering procurement options.  Where the 
asset required is relatively generic and could have a range of applications, it is unlikely 
that there will be a strong imperative for the Crown to retain ownership of the asset.  In 
such a case the best value for money option may be private provision such as through 
a lease arrangement. 
5.29  Where the required asset is highly specific to the proposed use (such as a prison or 
hospital), it is more likely that public ownership wil  be favourable to private ownership.  
The limited application of such an asset to other uses wil  mean that a private owner 
wil  likely seek to recover the full cost of the asset over the duration of the lease which 
is unlikely to be value for money for the Crown. 
5.30  Once the appropriate ownership structure has been identified, those procurement 
options relevant to the ownership structure can be identified and considered.  PPP 
procurement is only considered appropriate for assets for which long-term Crown 
ownership is preferable. 
Outcome specification 
5.31  As a general rule, if the required asset or service can be well specified, then it is likely 
that it can be measured and delivered by a third party under a contractual relationship. 
5.32  Additionally, where the service can be clearly specified, clear performance 
specifications can be formulated to ensure higher levels of service outcomes can be 
contractualised and enforced.  The PPP project agreement can include incentives to 
deliver stronger performance, resulting in greater efficiency and higher quality service 
outcomes. 
5.33  Service outcomes which cannot be well specified, however, risk undermining the 
performance regime and, ultimately, the procuring entity’s control over the asset and its 
performance. 
Durability of service specification 
5.34  The durability of the service specification is also a crucial issue for a public sector 
practitioner to assess as it wil  dictate the potential tenure of the contract. If a contract 
is easily specified and the nature of that service is unlikely to change significantly over 
time then it may suit a procurement model with a long contract term such as PPP 
procurement. 
5.35  A shorter duration may be preferred where the required scope of an outsourced service 
is unpredictable otherwise the procuring entity may face a risk of costly contract 
variations or a premium being charged by the service provider due to future 
uncertainty. 
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Project complexity 
5.36  Complexity (both in terms of asset and service provision) is also an important 
consideration in determining the suitability of PPP procurement for a specific project.  
Greater opportunity exists for a private sector partner to introduce an innovative 
solution where the project has a higher level of complexity.  Innovation may include 
approaches that provide improved service outcomes or reduce the overall cost of the 
project. 
5.37  Conversely, care should be taken to ensure that a project’s complexity and a private 
sector partner’s response do not undermine the value of the overall project.  This might 
arise through the creation of difficult or costly interface issues with other services provided 
by the procuring entity or increased contract management and enforcement costs. 
Project scale 
5.38  The size of the project (both in terms of asset and service provision) is an important 
criterion when considering procurement options and the suitability of PPP procurement. 
5.39  The larger a project is the greater ability it will likely have to absorb the transaction 
costs associated with PPP procurement and attract market interest.  A small project or 
service contract may not be able to sustain those transaction costs associated with the 
required market development, procurement and monitoring inherent in PPP 
procurement, reducing the value for money proposition. 
5.40  The scale of the project should also be considered in light of the cost to private sector 
parties in responding to the EOI and RFP.  Potential respondents are unlikely to 
participate in a procurement process where they do not consider that the cost of 
bidding is offset by the reward of winning the contract. 
The  procuring  entity’s contract management competency 
5.41  Effective management of outsourced service contracts is critical regardless of the form 
of procurement.  However, due to the level of complexity inherent within the 
performance regime, PPP procurement requires a higher level of active contract 
management than other forms of procurement.  Effective contract management is most 
likely to occur where service performance can be readily measured and the procuring 
entity has the requisite contract management resource and expertise. 
5.42  Where the adoption of PPP procurement for a specific project requires a procuring 
entity to establish a contract management function, consideration should be given to 
the likelihood of further PPP projects or other opportunities to utilise this capability.  If 
such opportunities are not apparent, the additional cost of establishing and maintaining 
this contract management functionality may diminish the value for money of procuring 
the project as a PPP. 
5.43  A procuring entity considering PPP procurement should consult the Treasury PPP 
Team in developing its contract management plan.  The Treasury PPP Team are able 
to provide advice on best practice PPP contract management as well as the Treasury’s 
ongoing contract monitoring framework. 
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Competitive tension 
5.44  The nature of the asset and service outcomes required wil  determine whether there are 
sufficient suppliers in the New Zealand market to ensure a competitive process to deliver 
value for money.  Factors both internal and external to the project may have an impact 
on the level of competition available and the procuring entity must ensure that the project 
and potential procurement methods are robustly tested with interested parties. 
5.45  The number and nature of interested parties wil  play an important role in delivering 
value for money and innovation within the project.  Early engagement with the market 
is required to ensure that interested parties have sufficient opportunity to consider the 
opportunity and form consortia.  This is particularly important where the project is likely 
to attract interest from new or international parties. 
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6  The Role of the Treasury PPP Team 
6.1  The Government has established a PPP Centre of Expertise within the Treasury.  The 
location of this Centre of Expertise within a central government agency is consistent 
with international best practice and considered most efficient as individual agencies are 
likely to undertake PPP procurement on a relatively infrequent basis. 
6.2  Locating the PPP team within the Treasury has the benefit of providing a direct 
relationship with the Minister of Finance (who also has responsibility for Infrastructure) 
as well as close proximity to the National Infrastructure Unit,10 the Investment 
Management and Asset Performance team11 and Treasury vote teams.  This enables 
the delivery of joint advice to Ministers on the procurement of significant capital 
projects. 
6.3  As a Centre of Expertise, the Treasury PPP team is responsible for: 
•  developing PPP policy 
•  advising agencies in respect of PPP procurement 
•  developing and maintaining the PPP market in New Zealand, and 
•  the PPP procurement model and Standard Form Project Agreement. 
6.4  Since its inception in 2009, the Treasury PPP team has developed: 
•  the Standard Form PPP Project Agreement, which forms the basis of al  PPP 
procurement 
•  an efficient and well understood procurement process for PPP projects 
•  a growing market of parties interested in investing in, and being a part of a strong 
New Zealand (and Australasian) PPP market 
•  a wide range of lessons learnt both from projects which have achieved contractual 
and financial close as well as those which have not proceeded as a PPP 
•  a growing body of guidance material to support procuring agencies and the PPP 
market generally, and 
•  a deep understanding of international PPP procurement practice through the 
establishment of relationships and regular engagement with PPP Centres of 
Expertise in other jurisdictions. 
                                                 
10   http://www.infrastructure.govt.nz 
11   http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/investmentmanagement/team 
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Engaging with the Treasury PPP team 
6.5  The PPP team understands that the requirement to consider a new procurement model 
can be daunting and encourages early engagement to discuss the PPP model and its 
suitability for a specific project.  Ownership of, and responsibility for, all PPP projects 
remains with the respective procuring entity and seeking early engagement with the 
Treasury PPP team on procurement options wil  provide opportunity to understand how 
PPP procurement may suit project and agency requirements. 
6.6  Early engagement allows scope for full consideration of alternative procurement 
options on a best-for-project basis.  It also provides maximum opportunity to leverage 
lessons learnt from other projects and international best practice in the development of 
procurement options for a project. 
6.7  The Treasury PPP team is able to provide agencies valuable assistance through: 
•  providing an understanding of the New Zealand PPP model and policy 
•  the development of the economic, financial and commercial cases component of a 
project’s business case (in particular, consideration of procurement options, market 
sounding, risk analysis and the development of a PSC) 
•  experience in planning the procurement process and engagement with potential 
private sector partners 
•  established relationships with market participants including advisors, investors, 
contractors and service providers 
•  providing insight from lessons learnt and experience from PPP projects in other 
sectors, and 
•  representation within the project’s governance group and project team to provide 
support and direction throughout the procurement and negotiation phases. 
6.8  Departments or agencies considering a significant investment must discuss the 
potential for applying PPP procurement with their Treasury vote manager or contact 
the Treasury PPP team directly. 
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7  The PPP procurement process 
An overview of the PPP procurement process 
7.1  The PPP procurement process contains the following three core stages: 
•  the Expression of Interest (EOI) stage, during which the procuring entity conducts an 
open process to short list a set number of respondents to participate in the Request 
for Proposals (RFP) stage 
•  the RFP stage, during which the short listed respondents develop proposals for 
delivering the facilities and service outcomes required by the procuring entity, through 
an interactive tender process.  The procuring entity then evaluates the proposals with 
the objective of selecting one respondent as the preferred bidder, and 
•  the Preferred Bidder stage, during which the procuring entity negotiates the Project 
Agreement with the preferred bidder and its debt providers, and resolves any critical 
issues identified in the proposal. 
7.2  Detailed guidance on the PPP procurement process is provided in other Treasury 
guidance (including detailed information and timeframes for each of the stages set out 
above). 12 
7.3  An overview of the process is set out at Figure 1 below. 
                                                 
12   http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/ppp/guidance/procurement-process  
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Figure 1: Overview of the PPP procurement process 
Expressions of Interest
Invitation for 
EOI Responses 
EOI 
EOI Developed
Prepared
Evaluation
Invitation for 
EOI Responses 
Respondents 
EOI Released
Submitted
Short Listed
Market 
Sounding
Request for Proposals
RFP and Project 
RFP Responses Prepared
RFP
Agreement Developed
Evaluation
RFP 
RFP Responses 
Preferred Bidder 
Released
Submitted
Selected
Interactive
Critical Issues 
Tender Process
Clarification
KEY
Procuring entity process
Preferred Bidder
Market or interactive process
Negotiation Strategy
Project Agreement Negotiation
Milestones
Developed
Interactions within stage
Financial 
Close
Design 
Operative 
Development
Documents
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Who is involved in PPP Procurement? 
7.4  The whole of life approach to PPP procurement inherently results in a greater up-front 
investment of time and resources.  It is therefore critical that procuring entities and 
private sector parties resource their respective project teams adequately. 
The procuring entity 
7.5  A procuring entity wil  need to establish a dedicated project team to manage the 
procurement led by a suitably qualified Project Director and governance group.  This 
team should be established as early as possible and, at the latest, soon after PPP 
procurement is agreed by the respective agency and Cabinet. 
7.6  An indicative organisational chart is set out below at Figure 2 below. 
Figure 2: An indicative organisational chart for a PPP project 
Cabinet
Project Sponsor
Project Governance 
Group
Treasury PPP 
Project Director
Advisor
Probity Auditor
Project Team
Technical/ 
Services Team
Commercial/ 
Project 
Works Team
Legal Team
Management 
& Support 
• Team lead
• Team lead
• Team lead
Team
• Technical 
• Technical 
• Treasury
• Project 
Advisors
Advisors
• Legal Advisor
Manager
• Financial 
• Support 
Advisor
personnel
 
7.7  The procuring entity wil  need to supplement this project team with specific advisory 
assistance throughout the planning and implementation of the PPP procurement 
process.  This would typically include: 
•  Commercial and financial advisors – including the provision of advice in relation to 
the commercial terms, the performance regime and performing a due diligence 
review of the financial model and financing proposal 
•  Legal advisors – including the provision of advice in relation to contractual, 
commercial, property, and resource management matters and performing a due 
diligence review of the legal and commercial structure proposal 
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•  Technical advisors – including the provision of advice in relation to the design and 
construction outcomes and requirements and performing a due diligence review of 
the design and construction programme, and 
•  Service provision advisors (where included) – including the provision of advice in 
relation to the development of service outcomes, integration of service provision with 
the asset and performing a due diligence review of the service provision proposal. 
7.8  The procuring entity may also require other specialist support such as property, 
insurance or stakeholder engagement assistance depending on the nature of the 
project and resourcing of the project team. 
7.9  While advisors play an important role in PPP procurement, they do not replace 
appropriate resourcing by the procuring entity.  The complexity and long term nature of 
PPP procurement means that the procurement process cannot be left to advisors 
exclusively.  It is particularly important that the procuring entity retain, and be seen to 
retain, overall control of the process. 
7.10  Equally it is important that procuring entities engage experienced and skil ed advisors 
to ensure the successful delivery of the project and knowledge transfer.  The typical 
relationship between the procuring entity and its advisors is set out at Figure 3 below. 
The private sector partner 
7.11  Given the breadth of capabilities required to participate in PPP procurement, the 
private sector partner wil  typically require cooperation between multiple entities 
through the formation of a consortium.  This consortium wil  usually include: 
•  Equity providers – who provide capital to the project through a shareholding in the 
contracting entity (usually a special purpose vehicle) 
•  Debt providers – who provide the balance of financing required through loan 
facilities (which can range from short term facilities to those that match the full 
duration of the operating period) 
•  Design contractors – who develop the design for the required asset 
•  Construction contractors – who provide input to the design and construction 
planning and carry out the physical construction works 
•  Asset management and facilities maintenance contractors - who provide input to the 
design and construction planning and carry out the facilities maintenance works, and 
•  Service providers – who, depending on the PPP method selected (being either 
DBFMO or DBFM), wil  provide input to the design and construction planning and 
carry out provision of core services throughout the operating period. 
7.12  To participate in a procurement process, the private sector partner wil  also require a 
full range of specialist advisors including commercial and financial advisors, legal 
advisors and technical advisors. 
7.13  The private sector partner wil  often require a greater number of advisors than the 
procuring entity as separate advisors are usually engaged by the consortium and each 
of the consortium members (for example, each debt and equity provider wil  likely have 
their own financial and legal advisor). 
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7.14  An indicative structure of a private sector partner, including its advisors is set out at 
Figure 3 below. 
Figure 3: Participants in the PPP Procurement Process 
Public Sector Participants
Private Sector Participants
Advisors
Advisors
Ministerial
Approvals
Equity 
Debt 
Providers
Providers
Commercial 
& Financial 
Advisors
Commercial 
& Financial 
Advisors
Legal Advisors
Procuring 
Special 
Entity
Purpose
Legal Advisors
Technical 
Vehicle
Advisors
Technical 
Advisors
Probity Auditor
Design & 
Facilities
Services 
Construction
Maintenance
Subcontractor
Subcontractor
Subcontractor
(If Applicable)
Advisors
Advisors
Advisors
 
Unsolicited proposals 
7.15  In the normal course of events, PPP procurement is initiated by a procuring entity as a 
result of identifying a service need and deciding that a long term contract is appropriate 
following an evaluation of different procurement options.  However, there are 
circumstances in which a private sector party may identify a suitable opportunity for the 
delivery of a service to a procuring entity by way of a long term contract. 
7.16  The Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment has published guidance on 
when unsolicited proposals should be given further consideration and how procuring 
entities should respond.13 
7.17  Where a procuring entity receives an unsolicited proposal for a long term contract, 
further input should be sought from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and 
Employment and the Treasury PPP Team. 
                                                 
13   http://www.business.govt.nz/procurement/pdf-library/agencies/guides-and-tools/Guide-to-Unsolicited-
Unique-Proposals.pdf  
The New Zealand PPP Model and Policy: Setting the Scene  |  27 

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